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EUR/JPY technical analysis: Doji, 50-day EMA question bulls ahead of the ECB

  • EUR/JPY again confronts 50-day EMA after registering a Doji candlestick formation on Wednesday.
  • The bearish formation gets confirmed on the pair’s break below 118.25.
  • An upside clearance of short-term EMA can aim for the 50% Fibonacci retracement level.

Despite trading near the highest levels in four-weeks, the EUR/JPY pair remains skeptical of further upside as it takes the bids to 119.00 ahead of the European session open on Thursday.

The Euro traders are awaiting the key event, namely monetary policy meeting by the European Central Bank (ECB), with most expecting a heavily dovish outcome as the President Mario Draghi will be heading the policymakers for the second-last time before he leaves the boat in October.

The negatives are pair’s trading below the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) following Wednesday’s Doji candle formation on the daily chart.

As a result, sellers are waiting for a downside break below Tuesday’s low surrounding 118.25 in order to target 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of July-September declines, near 117.60. Further, pair’s south-run past-117.60 can please sellers with a late-August low near 116.60 ahead of offering current month’s bottom around 115.85.

On the upside, pair’s successful break above 50-day EMA level of 119.13 could further escalate the recovery towards 50% Fibonacci retracement level of 119.60 and then to 120.00 round-figure. Additionally, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 100-day EMA, around 120.50 and 120.70 respectively, will entertain bulls afterward.

EUR/JPY daily chart

Trend: pullback expected

additional important levels

Overview
Today last price119.01
Today Daily Change29 pips
Today Daily Change %0.24%
Today daily open118.72
 
Trends
Daily SMA20117.74
Daily SMA50119.34
Daily SMA100121.01
Daily SMA200123.32
Levels
Previous Daily High119.18
Previous Daily Low118.29
Previous Weekly High118.62
Previous Weekly Low115.86
Previous Monthly High120.72
Previous Monthly Low116.57
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%118.63
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%118.84
Daily Pivot Point S1118.28
Daily Pivot Point S2117.84
Daily Pivot Point S3117.4
Daily Pivot Point R1119.17
Daily Pivot Point R2119.61
Daily Pivot Point R3120.05

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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