|

EUR/JPY climbs to one-week top, closer to mid-162.00s amid weaker JPY

  • EUR/JPY scales higher for the fourth straight day amid the emergence of some JPY selling.
  • The divergent BoJ-ECB policy expectations should keep a lid on the upside for the cross.
  • Traders now look to ECB President Christine Lagarde's speech for short-term opportunities.

The EUR/JPY cross attracts follow-through buyers for the fourth straight day on Wednesday and looks to build on its recovery from the 159.70-159.65 area, or over a one-month low touched last week. The intraday positive move lifts spot prices to a one-week top, around the 162.35-162.40 area during the Asian session and is sponsored by the emergence of some selling around the Japanese Yen (JPY).

The global risk sentiment remains well supported by the Israel-Hamas ceasefire agreement and hopes that US President Donald Trump might relax curbs on Russia in exchange for a deal to end the Ukraine war. Adding to this, Trump's proposed trade tariffs lacked details, which further boosted investors' appetite for riskier assets. This, in turn, is seen undermining demand for the safe-haven JPY and acting as a tailwind for the EUR/JPY cross.

That said, the growing acceptance that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates on Friday should limit any meaningful JPY depreciation. Furthermore, a modest US Dollar (USD) strength, along with Trump's threat to impose tariffs on the European Union and bets that the European Central Bank (EC) will lower borrowing costs further, seem to weigh on the shared currency and should cap any further gains for the EUR/JPY cross. 

The aforementioned fundamental backdrop and the recent repeated failures near the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) warrant some caution for bullish traders. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before positioning for any further appreciating move. Traders now look to ECB President Christine Lagarde's speech for some impetus, though the focus will remain glued to the crucial BoJ policy meeting.

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.08%0.02%0.25%0.02%0.13%0.23%0.12%
EUR-0.08% -0.07%0.16%-0.07%0.05%0.15%0.04%
GBP-0.02%0.07% 0.23%-0.00%0.12%0.21%0.09%
JPY-0.25%-0.16%-0.23% -0.22%-0.12%-0.03%-0.15%
CAD-0.02%0.07%0.00%0.22% 0.12%0.21%0.08%
AUD-0.13%-0.05%-0.12%0.12%-0.12% 0.10%-0.03%
NZD-0.23%-0.15%-0.21%0.03%-0.21%-0.10% -0.13%
CHF-0.12%-0.04%-0.09%0.15%-0.08%0.03%0.13% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hits nine-week lows below 0.7000 on RBA Bullock's remarks

AUD/USD reverses a brief uptick and turns lower to hit nine-week lows below 0.7000 in the European morning on Tuesday, as traders digest cautious remarks from Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock during the press conference. Earlier on, the RBA raised the cash rate to 4.60%, as widely expected, leaving the door open to further rate hikes if needed.

USD/JPY consolidates near 157.50 as a bullish USD counters intervention risks

USD/JPY struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from a one-week low, consolidating around 157.50 in the Asian session on Tuesday. Trump's concerns about the Japanese Yen's weakness fueled speculation about another US-Japan joint intervention. This, along with the hawkish BoJ, underpins the JPY and caps the currency pair. Meanwhile, rising Fed rate-hike bets and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to multi-year highs, keeping the US Dollar pinned near a two-month high and supporting the pair.

Gold seems vulnerable near eight-week low amid Fed hike bets

Gold struggles to capitalize on a modest Asian session uptick, trading near its lowest level since August 4, around the $4,100 neighborhood, touched the previous day. Moreover, the bearish fundamental backdrop suggests that the path of least resistance for the precious metal remains to the downside.

Ripple and Stellar face resistance amid weak signals

Ripple and Stellar remain under pressure as bulls struggle to sustain recent gains. XRP extends its decline below $1.480 after three consecutive losing days, while XLM faces rejection near the $0.234 resistance zone. In addition, mixed derivatives outlook and weakening on-chain metrics suggest that bullish momentum remains fragile, leaving both XRP and XLM vulnerable to further losses.

India Gold market cautiously optimistic with approach of festive and wedding seasons
The Indian gold market is cautiously optimistic as we approach the festive gold-buying season. Higher prices continue to weigh on gold jewelry demand even as they support investment purchases. Meanwhile, wedding buying appears “resilient,” according to the World Gold Council.
Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.