|

EUR/GBP posts modest gains above the mid-0.8500s, eyes on Eurozone HICP data

  • EUR/GBP posts modest gains around 0.8560 in Friday’s early European session. 
  • Markets expect the first rate cut from the ECB in June meeting 25 bps and a total 75bps for this year. 
  • BoE’s Ramsden said he wants to see how long inflation will remain elevated before considering a shifting monetary policy stance.

The EUR/GBP pair holds positive ground above the mid-0.8500s during the early European trading hours on Friday. Investors await the Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for fresh impetus. The cross currently trades near 0.8560, down 0.01% on the day.

The European Central Bank (ECB) is anticipated to take another step in its policy normalization process. The ECB President Christine Lagarde would rule out rate cuts at the March meeting, but financial markets believe that the first potential rate cuts might occur in the June meeting. The markets repriced policy easing expectations in February from around 150 basis points (bps) worth of rate cuts to 87 bps and expect the first rate cut in June of 25 bps and a total of 75 bps for this year. 

The Bank of England (BoE) Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden said he wants to see how long inflation will remain elevated before considering shifting monetary policy stance. The BoE policymakers pushed back against market expectations for early interest rate cuts, which lift the Pound Sterling (GBP) and cap the downside of the EUR/GBP cross. 

Looking ahead, market players will keep an eye on the Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) due on Friday, along with the HCOB Manufacturing PMI from Italy, France, and Germany. Additionally, the BoE's Huw Pill is set to speak later in the day. The attention will shift to the ECB interest rate decision next week. This event might trigger the volatility in the market and traders could find trading opportunities around the EUR/GBP cross. 

EUR/GBP

Overview
Today last price0.856
Today Daily Change-0.0002
Today Daily Change %-0.02
Today daily open0.8562
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8547
Daily SMA500.8579
Daily SMA1000.8625
Daily SMA2000.8612
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.857
Previous Daily Low0.8551
Previous Weekly High0.8578
Previous Weekly Low0.8528
Previous Monthly High0.8578
Previous Monthly Low0.8498
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8563
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8558
Daily Pivot Point S10.8552
Daily Pivot Point S20.8541
Daily Pivot Point S30.8532
Daily Pivot Point R10.8571
Daily Pivot Point R20.8581
Daily Pivot Point R30.8591

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

Gold tumbles as blockbuster US NFP lift US Dollar, Treasury yields

Gold (XAU/USD) falls sharply on Friday, snapping a two-day recovery after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report surprised strongly to the upside. The metal briefly climbed above $4,500 on Thursday, gaining nearly 2%, but has since erased a large part of that advance.

Crypto’s $638 million buyback boom may not be as bullish as it looks
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols reportedly spent $638 million to buy back their native tokens in August, up 17% from a year earlier. On the surface, the buyback trend suggests the cryptocurrency industry is maturing fast, adopting one of Wall Street’s oldest tools to bolster valuations and distribute revenue. The headline becomes less impressive once the number is opened up.
Why hawkish Bank of Japan expectations aren't enough to sustain the Japanese Yen rally

The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a sudden burst higher after falling back below the 160.00 psychological mark against the US Dollar (USD) earlier this week amid a more hawkish repricing of Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike expectations.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.