|

EUR/GBP holds positive ground 0.8550 ahead of Eurozone inflation data

  • EUR/GBP gains ground near 0.8565 in Wednesday’s early European session. 
  • BoE’s Bailey said UK economy is moving towards the point where the central bank can begin cutting rates.
  • ECB’s Holzmann said he has ‘no in-principle objection’ to a June rate cut, but wants to see more supportive data.
  • The preliminary Eurozone HICP inflation data for March will be in the spotlight on Wednesday. 

The EUR/GBP cross trades in positive territory for the fourth consecutive day around 0.8565 on Wednesday. The rising expectation that the Bank of England (BoE) will lower its borrowing cost in June exerts some selling pressure on the Pound Sterling (GBP).

The BoE Governor Andrew Bailey said in recent weeks that, due to further encouraging signs that inflation is cooling, the UK economy is moving towards the point where the central bank can begin cutting interest rates. Meanwhile, BoE interest-rate setter Jonathan Haskel said rate cuts should be "a long way off, although the fall in headline inflation is very good news. Jeremy Hunt, Chancellor of the Exchequer, stated that as inflation gets closer to its target that opens the door for the BoE to consider lowering interest rates. 

On the Euro front, the European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Robert Holzmann said on Wednesday that he has ‘no in-principle objection’ to a June rate cut, but wants to see more supportive data before the central bank could start cutting interest rates. The ECB's policymaker Yannis Stournaras said on the weekend that the ECB could possibly cut rates by a total of 100 basis points this year, but there was still no consensus within the Eurozone's central bank on that. 

ING economist, Carsten Brzeski, said that wage developments remain key and as long as the economy doesn’t fall off a cliff, the ECB will remain restrictive on policy and wait for more evidence on data. The less dovish stance of the ECB might lift the Euro (EUR) against the GBP and create a tailwind for the EUR/GBP cross. 

Later on Wednesday, the preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for March will be released. In case the report shows the easing inflation in the Euro area in March, this could bolster hopes that the ECB will soon start cutting interest rates and weigh on the EUR. 

EUR/GBP

Overview
Today last price0.8565
Today Daily Change0.0003
Today Daily Change %0.04
Today daily open0.8562
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8552
Daily SMA500.8548
Daily SMA1000.8591
Daily SMA2000.8607
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8575
Previous Daily Low0.8541
Previous Weekly High0.8593
Previous Weekly Low0.853
Previous Monthly High0.8602
Previous Monthly Low0.8504
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8562
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8554
Daily Pivot Point S10.8543
Daily Pivot Point S20.8525
Daily Pivot Point S30.8509
Daily Pivot Point R10.8578
Daily Pivot Point R20.8594
Daily Pivot Point R30.8612






 

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD stays offered just above 1.1400

EUR/USD keeps the downtrend well in place for yet another day, challenging the 1.1400 contention zone on Tuesday. The continuation of the selling impulse in spot comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar, which continues to find support in the persistent effervescence surrounding the US-Iran crisis.

Middle East crisis intensifies, Gold up

Gold now seems to have embarked on a consolidative phase below the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict and rising expectations for a hawkish Fed policy outlook are expected to limit the precious metal’s bullish momentum in the near term.

XRP rebounds on rising on-chain activity
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.