|

EUR/GBP falls to near 0.8350 following the PMI data from the UK, Eurozone

  • EUR/GBP continues to lose ground following the lower-than-expected PMI data from both economies.
  • The UK Manufacturing PMI fell to 51.5 in September, down from 52.5 in August, missing the market expectation of 52.3.
  • The HCOB Eurozone Composite PMI fell to 48.9 in September, down from August's 51.0 and marking an eight-month low.

EUR/GBP extends its winning streak for the fourth successive day following the lower-than-expected Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data from both the Eurozone and the United Kingdom (UK). The EUR/GBP cross trades around 0.8360 during the European hours on Monday.

The preliminary S&P Global/CIPS UK Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell to 51.5 in September, down from 52.5 in August, missing the market expectation of 52.3. Similarly, the Services PMI declined to 52.8 in September from 53.7 in August, also below the market forecast of 53.5.

Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence said “A slight cooling of output growth across manufacturing and services in September should not be seen as too concerning.”

In the Eurozone, the HCOB Composite PMI fell to 48.9 in September, down from August's 51.0 and well below the expected 50.6, marking an eight-month low. The Services PMI dropped sharply to 50.5 from 52.9 in August, significantly underperforming the market forecast of 52.4 and hitting a seven-month low. Meanwhile, the Manufacturing PMI declined further, falling from 45.8 in August to 44.8 in September, missing the expected 45.6 and reaching a nine-month low.

On Friday, European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde stated that monetary policy needs to stay adaptable in a constantly evolving world. Although the core objectives of monetary policy, particularly price stability, remain the same, central banks must maintain flexibility to respond to the challenges of a swiftly changing global economy, according to Euronews.

Economic Indicator

S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI

The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), released on a monthly basis by both the Chartered Institute of Procurement & Supply and S&P Global, is a leading indicator gauging business activity in the UK’s manufacturing sector. The data is derived from surveys of senior executives at private-sector companies. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month and can anticipate changing trends in official data series such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), industrial production, employment and inflation. The index varies between 0 and 100, with levels of 50.0 signaling no change over the previous month. A reading above 50 indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding, a bullish sign for the Pound Sterling (GBP). Meanwhile, a reading below 50 signals that activity among goods producers is generally declining, which is seen as bearish for GBP.

Read more.

Last release: Mon Sep 23, 2024 08:30 (Prel)

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 51.5

Consensus: 52.3

Previous: 52.5

Source: S&P Global

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1700 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under mild bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes near 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades marginally lower on the day at around 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold advances toward $4,400 and gains more than 1.5% on the day after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking heading into the end of the year. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).