|

EUR/GBP eyes week-start gap down below 0.9100 on Brexit news

  • EUR/GBP surged to three-month top, early levels suggest downside gap of over 80 pips at the week’s start.
  • UK PM Johnson and EC President Ursula von der Leyen agreed to extend Brexit talks this week.
  • Fears of a no-deal Brexit aren’t off the table.

Having closed near the highest since September, around 0.9160, the early price indicators suggest EUR/GBP to mark a massive gap down below 0.9100 to start the week. The downside gap of near 80 pips is likely to take clues from upbeat Brexit news published during the weekend.

Read: Brexit talks to continue as Johnson and EU agree to 'go the extra mile' – The Guardian

After a tiring session of talks over the future Brexit talks, European Commission (EC) President Ursula von der Leyen (VDL) and UK PM Boris Johnson conveyed that they’re “far apart” on major Brexit issues and called off the discussions.

The pessimistic move dragged the British pound (GBP) heavily during the last week as an abrupt halt to negotiations, or failure to extend the same, highlighted fears of a no-deal Brexit. The same fears were conveyed by the leader of the UK and the EU while exerting additional downside pressure on the British currency.

However, a surprise announcement from The Guardian, citing a call between the EC and the UK leaders during this weekend, suggests that the Brexit talks would “go the extra mile”, continuing talks into this week. However, UK PM Johnson’s comments suggesting, “I’m afraid we’re still very far apart on some issues,” keeps the harsh Brexit fears on the table.

Hence, a week-start gap below 0.9100, currently around 0.9080, may witness a bounce off during the European session if further headlines keep warning the ex-neighbors’ bitter divorce after multi-month negotiations.

Other than the Brexit, hints over the future of BOE actions, based on the no-deal scenario, will also be the key to watch for the EUR/GBP traders.

It should be noted that the UK Coordination Group will have an exchange of views with EU chief negotiator Michel Barnier at 9.30am Brussels time.

Technical analysis

Any pullback will have to slip below a three-week-old support line, at 0.9010 now, before ruling out the upside momentum towards attacking the yearly peak surrounding 0.9290.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.9161
Today Daily Change0.0000
Today Daily Change %0.00%
Today daily open0.9161
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8991
Daily SMA500.9019
Daily SMA1000.9037
Daily SMA2000.8984
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.923
Previous Daily Low0.9115
Previous Weekly High0.923
Previous Weekly Low0.8984
Previous Monthly High0.9069
Previous Monthly Low0.8861
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9186
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9159
Daily Pivot Point S10.9108
Daily Pivot Point S20.9054
Daily Pivot Point S30.8993
Daily Pivot Point R10.9222
Daily Pivot Point R20.9283
Daily Pivot Point R30.9337

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains depressed near 0.6950 after RBA minutes

AUD/USD attracts follow-through selling during Tuesday’s Asian session, looking to extend the overnight rejection slide from 0.7000, or a two-week top, following the release of RBA meeting Minutes. The US Dollar retains a bullish undertone near its highest level since April 2025 as energy-driven inflation risks keep December Fed rate hike bets firmly on the table. Adding to this, geopolitical risks further underpin the safe-haven USD.

USD/JPY extends retreat below 158.50 as intervention risks loom

USD/JPY is dropping below 158.50 in the Asian session on Tuesday, snapping a two-day winning streak and pulling back from an over two-week top touched the previous day, despite Japan's soft PPI inflation print. Bulls turn cautious amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen, which, in turn, weighs on the pair.

Gold clings to gains just below $4,200

Gold fades Monday’s small pullback and picks up renewed pace, briefly flirting with the key $4,200 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal’s recovery comes in line with the fresh downward trend in the Greenback in combination with shrinking US Treasury yields across the board and easing tensions on the geopolitical front.

Bitcoin rebounds despite cautious sentiment

Bitcoin rebounds over 2%, trading above $83,500 on Tuesday, recovering the previous day’s losses. Persistent geopolitical tensions and mixed signals continue to weigh on risk appetite, keeping investors cautious despite BTC’s recovery.

US – Midterm update: Democratic lead holds three weeks before election

With three weeks until the US midterm election on 3 November, prediction markets are more or less unchanged. Polymarket continues to put the probability of a Democratic sweep at 60-65%. The House is seen as a fairly safe Democratic win, with a probability of around 90%.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?