EUR/GBP depreciates to near 0.8400 due to political uncertainty in Europe


  • EUR/GBP loses ground due to uncertainty surrounding the upcoming European parliamentary elections.
  • ECB President Christine Lagarde is expected to speak at the 30th Dubrovnik Economic Conference on Friday.
  • UK Consumer Inflation Expectations came in at a 2.8% increase compared to a previous reading of a 3.0% rise.

EUR/GBP continues to depreciate for the second consecutive session, trading around 0.8410 during European hours on Friday. The Euro (EUR) struggles due to uncertainty surrounding the upcoming European parliamentary elections. Investors are awaiting insights from ECB President Christine Lagarde's speech at the 30th Dubrovnik Economic Conference scheduled later in the day.

Political uncertainty in Europe is expected to weigh on the Euro and could further weaken the EUR/GBP cross. The recent European parliamentary elections have highlighted significant divisions within several member states. In France, President Emmanuel Macron's decision to dissolve parliament and call for snap elections follows a defeat by the far-right National Rally, potentially increasing their representation in the country's parliament, as reported by the European Council on Foreign Relations website.

The ECB delivered a 25 basis-point (bps) interest rate cut during its June meeting last week, a move widely expected by market participants. Financial markets have fully priced in one further reduction this year, but economists polled by Reuters last week forecast two more cuts occurring toward the end of 2024.

In the United Kingdom (UK), Consumer Inflation Expectations showed a slight decrease, with expectations for a 2.8% increase over the next 12 months, compared to a previous reading of a 3.0% rise. Traders await the upcoming Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy meeting scheduled for Thursday. It is widely expected that the BoE will maintain interest rates at 5.25%.

Investor attention will primarily be on the number of policymakers likely to support a rate-cut decision. During the May meeting, BoE Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden joined policymaker Swati Dhingra in voting for a 25 basis-point (bps) reduction in interest rates to 5.0%.

EuroNews reported BoE Governor Andrew Bailey acknowledged significant progress in inflation declining to 2%, but emphasized, "We are not yet at a point where we can cut the base rate."

EUR/GBP

Overview
Today last price 0.8406
Today Daily Change -0.0007
Today Daily Change % -0.08
Today daily open 0.8413
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.85
Daily SMA50 0.8545
Daily SMA100 0.8547
Daily SMA200 0.8598
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.8458
Previous Daily Low 0.8413
Previous Weekly High 0.8536
Previous Weekly Low 0.8489
Previous Monthly High 0.8621
Previous Monthly Low 0.8484
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.843
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.8441
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.8398
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.8383
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.8353
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.8443
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.8473
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.8488

 

 

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