|

ECB Accounts: Doubts were raised about whether recovery would take place as expected

The accounts of the European Central Bank's (ECB) June policy meeting showed on Thursday that some members felt that the data available since the last meeting had not increased their confidence that inflation would converge to the 2%, per Reuters.

Key takeaways

"Some doubts were raised about whether the recovery would take place as expected."

"While the impact of restrictive monetary policy was seen to be gradually fading, the services sector had anyway been affected less strongly."

"Labour market, members considered that, overall, it had remained persistently robust."

"It was pointed out that projections rested on the assumption that energy and food inflation would move below their longer-term averages."

"Wages were still rising strongly."

"Members expressed different views regarding directional changes in the balance of risks."

"It would therefore still take time for more clarity to be obtained on the dynamics of important inflation drivers."

"Any further delay in bringing inflation back to target could make it more difficult to continue to anchor inflation expectations in the future."

Market reaction

The EUR/USD pair showed no immediate reaction to these comments and was last seen trading little changed on the day at around 1.0800.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims losses and returns to the 1.1750 area

The US Dollar resumed its decline in the American afternoon, helping EUR/USD trim early losses. The pair trades around 1.1750 as market participants gear up for the European Central Bank monetary policy decision and the United States Consumer Price Index.

GBP/USD flirts with 1.3400 after nearing 1.3300

The GBP/USD changed course after dipping with UK inflation data, and trades near the 1.3400 mark, as investors expect the Bank of England to deliver a 25 basis points interest rate cut after the two-day meeting on Thursday.

Gold flirts with weekly range hurdle; looks to US CPI for fresh impetus

Gold is seen consolidating near the top end of the weekly range, below the $4,350 level, during the Asian session on Thursday. The US Dollar preserves the overnight recovery gains and caps the bullion, though a weaker risk tone and dovish Fed bets act as a tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal. Traders now look to the US consumer inflation figures for cues about the Fed's rate-cut path in 2026 before placing fresh directional bets around the XAU/USD pair.

Bitcoin risks deeper correction as ETF outflows mount, derivative traders stay on the sidelines

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $87,000 on Wednesday, nearing a key support level. A decisive daily close below this zone could open the door to a deeper correction.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP slide further as risk-off sentiment deepens

Bitcoin faces extended pressure as institutional investors reduce their risk exposure. Ethereum’s upside capped at $3,000, weighed down by ETF outflows and bearish signals. XRP slides toward November’s support at $1.82 despite mild ETF inflows.