|

Earnings deliver in spades

Market

Stocks ripped higher for a second consecutive day on Tuesday, buoyed by robust corporate earnings that helped alleviate fears surrounding higher for longer evolving narrative.

A more positive trend emerged, fuelled by robust earnings reports. This uptick reflects investor confidence in the resilience of corporate America amid challenging economic conditions. As companies deliver strong earnings results, investors find renewed optimism about future growth and profitability prospects.

The breadth of sectors contributing to this positive momentum underscores the broad-based nature of the market recovery as companies and consumers demonstrate their ability to navigate higher for longer interest rate headwinds.

Tuesday's economic data, however, revealed a cooling of U.S. business activity in April, hitting a four-month low due to weakened demand.

One of the most significant highlights from the PMI updates was the insight into hiring trends. S&P Global said services sector firms slashed payrolls in April at the quickest pace since the financial crisis, excluding the COVID-induced downturn.

The underwhelming data on services employment comes at a time when the Fed is grappling with containing price pressures in the services sector of the economy. Therefore, if the payroll decline signals slower demand, it might not necessarily be a negative development in the broader inflationary context.

In other positive market news, the auction of two-year Treasuries was settled at 4.898%, slightly below the pre-auction trading yield of 4.904% at 1 p.m. New York time bidding cutoff. This suggests that demand surpassed initial expectations.

Finally, investors are keenly awaiting the release of the March Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index on Friday, which serves as the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation. This data point will be closely scrutinized for insights into the trajectory of consumer price movements and its implications for future monetary policy decisions.

Not all a bed of roses

Mind you, it is not all a bed of roses in the glamorous, high-tech world.

And Tesla isn't the sole concern among the Magnificent 7, as Apple, the group's symbolic "bad apple," is facing challenges too.

Recent reports indicate a significant decline of 19% in iPhone sales in China during the quarter ending in March. If accurate, this would mark the steepest drop since the original COVID lockdowns, which led to China's only negative-growth quarter on record.

Competition, notably from Huawei, exacerbates the issue as it is obviously not in vogue to own iPhones these days amid Xi Jinping's initiative to restrict the use of iPhones by state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and Chinese bureaucrats, which is an enormous demand hit considering the pervasive presence of SOEs across China's economic landscape.

China's domestic demand presents a significant challenge. The consumption impulse within the world's second-largest economy remains subdued. Consumer price growth flirted with deflation last month, and retail sales growth was alarmingly tepid. In essence, Chinese consumers are displaying reluctance to spend, especially on items like iPhones, which aren't known for their affordability.

Author

Stephen Innes

Stephen Innes

SPI Asset Management

With more than 25 years of experience, Stephen has a deep-seated knowledge of G10 and Asian currency markets as well as precious metal and oil markets.

More from Stephen Innes
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gathers strength above 1.1750 as Fed rate cut prospects pressure US Dollar

The EUR/USD pair trades in positive territory around 1.1775 during the early Asian session on Monday. The prospect of a US Federal Reserve rate cut in 2026 weighs on the US Dollar against the Euro. Markets brace for US President Donald Trump to nominate a Fed chair to replace Jerome Powell, whose term ends in May. 

GBP/USD edges lower near 0.7400, eyes Fed rate cut outlook

GBP/USD edges lower after a gap-up open, trading around 0.7410 during the Asian hours on Monday. However, the pair may gain ground as the US Dollar faces challenges, which could be attributed to growing expectations of two more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026.

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.