|

BoJ Minutes: China's lockdown measures could exert significant downward pressure on Japan exports

The Bank of Japan's March meeting minutes are coming out in stages as follows:

Key notes

One member said markets may turn risk aversive if rising inflation triggers withdrawal of monetary easing by central banks.

Members agreed japan's economy likely to recover on rising external demand, accomodative monetary policy

A few members said spring wage negotiations showed some bright signs such as big firms' wage hikes.

Several members said chance of recent import price rises leading to sustained increase in consumer inflation is low.

China's lockdown measures could exert significant downward pressure on japan exports if they disrupt firms' local production.

Some members said BoJ must support economy's recovery from pandemic fallout as japan not in situation where inflation will sustainably exceed its 2% target.

One member said no need to ramp up stimulus as economy likely to continue recovering

One member said must consider monetary policy response with eye on various scenarios based on expected change in economic, price environment.

Several members said BoJ must conduct market operations to curb rise in long-term interest rates.

USD/JPY update

Meanwhile, the US dollar is firm at the start of the week and it is pushing the yen lower toward the cycle highs. 

About the BoJ minutes

The Bank of Japan publishes a study of economic movements in Japan after the actual meeting. These meetings are held to review economic developments inside and outside of Japan and indicate a sign of new fiscal policy. Any changes in this report tend to affect the JPY volatility. Generally speaking, if the BoJ minutes show a hawkish outlook, that is seen as positive (or bullish) for the JPY, while a dovish outlook is seen as negative (or bearish).

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains offered around 0. 6950

AUD/USD has added to Wednesday’s decline, slipping back to the low 0.6900s just to grab some air afterwards and attempt a tepid bounce toward 0.6950 ahead of the opening bell in Asia on Friday. The Aussie’s extra weakness has come despite the Greenback receding modestly amid fresh improvement in the risk complex.

USD/JPY slips below 158.00 as USD retreats

USD/JPY returns to the red below 158.00 in the Asian session on Thursday amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar eases from near an 18-month high on profit taking, ignoring Wednesday's hawkish FOMC Minutes and the risk of a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East, adding to the pair's pullback.

Gold clings to daily gains; still below $4,150

Gold regains some composure and climbs back to the vicinity $4,150 mark per troy ounce amid decent gains on Thursday. The yellow metal’s recovery follows some loss of momentum in the US Dollar strength and a decent drop in US Treasury yields across the curve.

XRP downtrend persists as EMA support strains while Binance reserves swell
Ripple (XRP) sellers are gaining ground on Thursday, as the token slips below $1.40. Sell-side pressure remains intense in the broader crypto market, as seen with leading digital assets, including Bitcoin (BTC) currently below $83,000 and Ethereum (ETH), sliding below $2,600. Despite the correction, XRP retains a constructive technical outlook, with support provided by a key moving average cluster.
Three fundamental drivers are all pushing the Euro south. This chart shows them lining up on 1.1000
EUR/USD has already fallen sharply, but the forces pushing the pair lower are becoming increasingly interconnected. French fiscal concerns, renewed energy pressure and an uncomfortable policy dilemma for the European Central Bank (ECB) are colliding with a US economy that continues to give the Federal Reserve (Fed) little reason to turn dovish.
The UK 30-year gilt just hit a 1998 high. Is that good or bad for the British Pound?
The yield on the UK's 30-year government bond, or gilt, went through 6% on October 1 for the first time since early 1998, and on Monday the Pound was at its strongest against the Euro since June 2025. The gilt market's 28-year high is mostly someone else's. Since early May, the 30-year gilt yield has risen about 0.15 of a percentage point and the US 30-year about 0.7.