|

Breaking: US Initial Jobless Claims rose to 6.648 million, new record high

There were 6,648,000 Initial Claims for unemployment benefits in the US during the week ending March 28, the data published by the US Department of Labor (DOL) revealed on Thursday. This reading followed last week's print of 3,307,000 (revised from 3,283,000) and came in much worse than the market expectation of 3,500,000.

"The 4-week moving average was 2,612,000, an increase of 1,607,750 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised up by 6,000 from 998,250 to 1,004,250," the DOL noted in its publication.

Additional takeaways

"The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending March 21 was 3,029,000, an increase of 1,245,000 from the previous week's revised level."

"This is the highest level for insured unemployment since July 6, 2013 when it was 3,079,000."

"The 4-week moving average was 2,053,500, an increase of 327,250 from the previous week's revised average."

Market reaction

With the initial market reaction, the US Dollar Index shot higher and was last seen adding 0.3% on the day at 99.77. US stock index futures pulled away from session highs after the data but cling to daily gains. The S&P 500 futures were last seen adding around 1% on the day. 

Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury bond yield erased its daily gains and was down 1.2% at 0.576% to reflect the intensifying risk-aversion.

Related articles

Jobless Claims Quick Analysis: At 6.648 million, this horror is here to stay, dollar implications.

Catastrophic data – no superlative is exaggerated for these horrendous weekly jobless claims figures. The number of claims doubled in comparison to the previous week, which already a historic record.

S&P 500 Price Analysis: US stocks on the back foot amidst worst US jobless claims in history.

The S&P 500 remains under pressure below the 2515 resistance as the US jobless claims hit a new record high at 6.648 million painting a gloomy picture for the economy. In this context, the index could decline further towards the 2400 and 2300 support levels in the medium term while resistance should emerge near 2515 and 2600 levels. 

USD/JPY flirting with daily lows, around 107.00 mark post-US weekly jobless claims.

The USD/JPY pair edged lower during the early North-American session and moved to the lower end of its daily trading range post-US macro data.

EUR/USD Forecast: Bears lead, despite awful US employment data.

Financial markets are in better shape this Thursday, although optimism is nowhere to be found. The American dollar trades marginally higher against most major rivals, except the Pound, which remains resilient to the dollar’s strength.

US Initial Jobless Claims: Devastating report – RBC.

New unemployment insurance claims skyrocketed to 6.65 million last week while current unemployment rate nearing 10%, 2009's high, Josh Nye from the Royal Bank of Canada reports.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD looks apathetic around 1.1770

EUR/USD comes under renewed pressure on Tuesday, deflating below the 1.1800 support and reversing two consecutive days of gains. The pair’s decline follows the persistent move higher in the US Dollar, as trade uncertainty dominates the sentiment ahead of President Trump’s SOTU speech.

GBP/USD regains 1.3500 and above

GBP/USD extends its advance for the third day in a row on Tuesday, this time retesting the area beyond the 1.3500 hurdle. Cable’s uptick comes despite decent gains in the Greenback and the dovish message from the BoE’s Bailey at the UK Parliament.

Gold appears offered around $5,150

Gold is giving back a good portion of the recent multi-day rally, receding to the $5,150 zone per troy ounce amid the decent bounce in the US Dollar and mixed US Treasuty yields. In the meantime, markets’ attention remain on upcoming comments from Fed speakers.

Ripple’s DeFi shift in focus: Navigating XRPL EVM sidechain growth, XRPFi migration and liquidity

Ripple (XRP) has continued to trade under pressure, extending its decline by approximately 63% from the record high of $3.66 in July. The remittance token is trading above support at $1.35, while its upside appears limited by key supply zones, starting with $1.40, at the time of writing on Tuesday.

The Citrini report: How a debatable AI narrative can shake Wall Street

That AI-related headline alone was enough to rattle investors.US stocks slid sharply on Monday after a widely circulated Citrini Research memo outlined a hypothetical “2028 Global Intelligence Crisis”, warning that rapid AI adoption could push US unemployment into double digits as early as by mid-2028.

XRP pressured by weak ETF flows and declining retail interest

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower, trading above its intraday low of $1.32 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The decline from its weekly opening of $1.39 reflects heightened volatility in the broader cryptocurrency market, accentuated by tariff-triggered uncertainty.