|

EUR/USD Forecast: Bears lead, despite awful US employment data

EUR/USD Current Price: 1.0889

  • Unemployment claims in the US jumped to a record of 6.64 million in the week ended March 27.
  • The coronavirus pandemic and its effects on the economy continue to be the main market mover.
  • EUR/USD about to fall below the 50% retracement of its latest daily advance.

Financial markets are in better shape this Thursday, although optimism is nowhere to be found. The American dollar trades marginally higher against most major rivals, except the Pound, which remains resilient to the dollar’s strength. The EUR/USD pair pierced the 1.0900 level ahead of the release of US weekly unemployment claims. Meanwhile, the world continues to gyrate about coronavirus-related news, as the pandemic escalates with no signs of reaching a peak

There EU didn’t release relevant macroeconomic data, but the US published earlier today March Challenger Job Cuts, which showed that US-based employers announced 222,288 cuts, a 292% surge from February. As for unemployment claims, they jumped to 6.64 million almost doubling the market’s forecast. The dollar’s reaction, however, was quite limited although Wall Street’s futures turned into the red.

EUR/USD short-term technical outlook

The EUR/USD pair is pressuring the 50% retracement of its latest bullish run, technically bearish in the short-term. The 4-hour chart shows that the price is below all of its moving averages, which remain confined to a tight range although gaining bearish traction. Technical indicators in the mentioned time-frame, turned south within negative levels, favoring additional declines, mainly on a break below 1.0890, the immediate support.

Support levels: 1.0890 1.0850 1.0810

Resistance levels: 1.0960 1.1000 1.1045

View Live Chart for the EUR/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD consolidates below 1.1700 amid cautious markets

EUR/USD is holding steady below 1.1700 in the European trading hours on Thursday. The pair pauses its losing streak as the US Dollar consolidates the recent recovery amid a cautious market mood and ahead of the mid-tier US employment data. 

GBP/USD turns lower to near 1.3450 amid softer risk tone

GBP/USD loses ground to trade near 1.3450 in the early European session on Thursday. Markets turn cautious amid simmering geopolitical tensions and ahead of the US labor market data due later in the day. 

Gold sticks to intraday losses below $4,450; seems vulnerable to slide further

Gold maintains its offered tone through the first half of the European session and currently trades near the lower end of its daily range, down for the second straight day. The downfall lacks any obvious fundamental catalyst and could be attributed to some follow-through profit-taking ahead of the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls report on Friday. 

Pi Network flashes bearish potential as selling pressure mounts

Pi Network trades above $0.2000 at press time on Thursday, following a nearly 2% decline the previous day. Centralized Exchanges have received 1.90 million PI tokens over the last 24 hours, suggesting risk-off sentiment among holders. The technical outlook for the PI token remains bearish, with a risk of a cross below the 20-day Exponential Moving Average. 

2026 economic outlook: Clear skies but don’t unfasten your seatbelts yet

Most years fade into the background as soon as a new one starts. Not 2025: a year of epochal shifts, in which the macroeconomy was the dog that did not bark. What to expect in 2026? The shocks of 2025 will not be undone, but neither will they be repeated.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI flashes bearish potential as selling pressure mounts

Pi Network trades above $0.2000 at press time on Thursday, following a nearly 2% decline the previous day. Centralized Exchanges have received 1.90 million PI tokens over the last 24 hours, suggesting risk-off sentiment among holders.