|

BoJ’s Uchida: We won't hike rates when markets are unstable

Bank of Japan (BoJ) Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida expressed his view on the bank’s interest rate outlook, exchange value and the current market volatility.

Key quotes

Our interest rate path will obviously change if, as a result of market volatility, our economic forecasts, view on risks and likelihood of achieving our projection change.

Japan is not in an environment where we would be behind the curve unless we hike rates at set pace.

We won't hike rates when markets are unstable.

Personally believe US economy can achieve soft landing.

See no big change to Japan, US, economic fundamentals so market reaction to single US data appears too big.

Recent market moves are extremely volatile so watching impact of their moves on economy, prices with extreme vigilance, will respond appropriately in guiding policy.

We must maintain current degree of monetary easing for the time being.

Japan's real interest rate very low, monetary conditions very accomodative.

If economy, prices move in line with projections, it is appropriate to adjust degree of monetary easing.

Degree, speed of FX moves' impact on prices bigger than in past.

Weak yen and subsequent rise in import costs pose upside risks to inflation.

Short-term interest rate, at 0.25%, is still very low on real basis, so we continue to support economy with very loose policy.

Given rapid market volatility, we need to maintain current level of monetary easing.

Stock market volatility affects corporate activity, consumption so is important factor in guiding monetary policy.

Reversal of weak Yen means risk of inflation overshoot has diminished, which would affect our policy.

Expect Japan's consumption to stay solid.

Changes seen in Japan's labor market are structural and irreversable.

It is true over 10 years of massive monetary easing has caused various side-effects.

Our scheduled tapering of bond buying likely won't cause major changes in degree of monetary easing.

Short-term rates have bigger effect of stimulating economy than long-term rates.

Market reaction

The Japanese Yen sees a fresh bout of selling following these dovish remarks from the BoJ official, as USD/JPY storms through the roof to retest 147.50. The pair is currently trading at 146.82, still up 1.75% on the day.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, nears 1.1700

The EUR/USD pair eases in the American afternoon and approaches the 1.1700 mark. The pair surged earlier in the day after the ECB left interest rates unchanged and upwardly revised inflation and growth figures. The US CPI rose 2.7% YoY in November, nearing Fed’s goal.

GBP/USD returns to 1.3370 after BoE, US CPI

The GBP/USD pair jumped towards the 1.3440 early in the day, following the BoE decision to cut rates, and US CPI data, which was much softer than anticipated. The US Dollar, however, managed to regain the ground lost during US trading hours.

Gold extends its consolidative phase around $4,330

The bright metal cannot attract speculative interest on Thursday, despite central banks announcements and the United States latest inflation update. XAU/USD is stuck around $4,330, confined to a tight intraday range.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum hold steady while XRP slides amid mixed ETF flows

Bitcoin eyes short-term breakout above $87,000, underpinned by a significant increase in ETF inflows. Ethereum defends support around $2,800 as mild ETF outflows suppress its recovery. XRP holds above at $1.82 amid bearish technical signals and persistent inflows into ETFs.

Bank of England cuts rates in heavily divided decision

The Bank of England has cut rates to 3.75%, but the decision was more hawkish than expected, leaving market rates higher and sterling slightly stronger. It's a close call whether the Bank cuts again in February or March.

Ripple holds $1.82 support as low retail demand weighs on the token

Ripple (XRP) is trading between a key support at $1.82 and resistance at $2.00 at the time of writing on Thursday, reflecting the lethargic sentiment in the broader cryptocurrency market.