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BoE's Bailey: Scale of real income shock will cause slowdown in UK growth

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey has been talking about the state of and outlook for the UK economy. Here are the key takeaways from his remarks. 

Additional Remarks:

The UK's inflation shock has more in common with the Eurozone than the US.

Quite a few businesses have been talking about a shortage of migrant labour.

"We are in a period of unprecedentedly large shocks".

"We must ask whether series of price shocks is affecting inflation expectations".

The question is whether the UK labour market will slow down.

The BoE is looking to see whether businesses intend to hoard labour. 

The inflation target is going through the most severe test since it was created. 

Short-run inflation expectations are increasing and this is not a surprise. 

"We are seeing some increase in medium-term inflation expectations, but this does not amount to a de-anchoring". 

"We must not be complacent about inflation expectations".

"We must not be complacent about inflation expectations".

"We are walking a very tight line between tackling inflation, and the output effects of real-income shock". 

Author

Joel Frank

Joel Frank

Independent Analyst

Joel Frank is an economics graduate from the University of Birmingham and has worked as a full-time financial market analyst since 2018, specialising in the coverage of how developments in the global economy impact financial asset

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