AUD/USD slumps to 0.6430 as US Dollar rebounds, US Gov shutdown on the cards

The AUD/USD has walked back all of the day's gains in Friday trading as the DXY sees resurgence.
Friday sees the Aussie down over 1% against the Greenback.
A looming US government shutdown is seeing markets balk as investors clam up and jump back into the USD.

Joshua Gibson FXStreet

The AUD/USD has slipped over 65 pips on Friday to slide back into the 0.6430 neighborhood as the US Dollar Index (DXY) catches a broad-market lift in investor fears of an impending US government shutdown.

The American government is poised to head straight into a partisan lockdown, which could see next week's Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) thrown into question; if the US government agency responsible for assembling and disseminating the NFP figures is furloughed, investors will be missing the regularly-scheduled labor figures.

Australian data failed to spark firm faith in the Aussie this week, after Australian Retail Sales failed to meet market expectations on Thursday. Aussie Retail Sales printed at a disappointing 0.2%, flubbing the previous read of 0.5% and coming in below the forecast 0.3%.

A re-test of 2022 lows seems inevitable – SocGen

Forex Today: Another positive week for the Dollar

AUD traders will now be looking ahead to next week's Aussie data docket, with Securities Inflation on Monday and the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) next rate meeting on Tuesday.

The RBA is broadly forecast to hold rates steady at 4.1% as economic growth languishes for the Antipodean economy, and investors will be looking for any hints in the RBA's following rate statement report. The RBA is slated to appear at 03:300 GMT on Tuesday.

AUD/USD technical outlook

Friday's backslide sees the AUD/USD all set for a technical rejection from the 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the daily candles, and the pair remains trapped in familiar consolidation.

The AUD remains a weakly-bid currency, and swing lows have been chewing out progressively lower floors near 0.6325.

The 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) remains high above current price action near 0.6700, and buyers will first need to contend with pushing the AUD/USD back over the 100-day SMA near 0.6575.

AUD/USD daily chart

AUD/USD technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price	0.6432
Today Daily Change	0.0005
Today Daily Change %	0.08
Today daily open	0.6427

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.6419
Daily SMA50	0.6492
Daily SMA100	0.6591
Daily SMA200	0.6691

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.6432
Previous Daily Low	0.6345
Previous Weekly High	0.6511
Previous Weekly Low	0.6385
Previous Monthly High	0.6724
Previous Monthly Low	0.6364
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.6399
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.6378
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.637
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.6314
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.6283
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.6458
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.6489
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.6546

Author

Joshua Gibson

FXStreet

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

AUD/USD reclaims 0.7000 as blue wave sweep tumbles the US Dollar

The Democratic blue sweep in the US midterm elections weighed on the US Dollar and boosted the Australian Dollar, which has bounced from a 12-day low of 0.6954 and reclaimed 0.7000, gaining over 0.59% at the time of writing.

USD/JPY declines below 158.00 as USD weakens on midterm election results

USD/JPY comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, dropping below 158.00 during the Asian session as the US Dollar slumps to a one-month low amid heightened political uncertainty after early US midterm vote counts. Moreover, the prospect of gridlock in Washington drives safe-haven flows, triggering a fresh leg down in US bond yields and further weighing on the buck.

Gold pops to four-day highs near $4,050

Gold manages to regain some composure, leaving behind two consecutive daily pullbacks and reclaiming the area above the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce on Wednesday. The strong decline in the US Dollar, shrinking US Treasury yields across the curve and lower crude oil price all contributes to the yellow metal’s recovery.

Circle reserve income falls 8% as ARC presale lifts Q3 revenue

Circle (CRCL) reported increased revenue in its Q3 earnings update on Wednesday as the $182 million ARC token presale offset the decline in reserve income. The stablecoin issuer stated that total revenue and reserve income reached $865 million in Q3, up 17% from a year earlier. Net income from continuing operations increased 5% to $226 million, while adjusted EBITDA climbed 85% to $317 million.

US midterms 2026: Investor Q&A on the Democratic sweep

1. Gridlock replaces the stimulus narrative. A Democratic Congress would constrain Trump's ability to pursue additional fiscal expansion and legislative tax measures. But it cannot simply reverse the president's entire economic agenda. Executive powers, existing legislation and presidential vetoes remain important. 2. AI faces a higher hurdle, not an extinction event.

US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress

The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.