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AUD/USD Price Analysis: Eyes minor bounce as charts signal oversold conditions

  • AUD/USD looks oversold as per the daily chart RSI. 
  • The 4-hour chart RSI is reporting a bullish divergence. 
  • The broader trend remains bearish with the pair stuck in a falling channel. 

AUD/USD may witness a corrective bounce as technical charts are signaling seller exhaustion. 

To start with, the 14-day relative strength index (RSI) is reporting oversold conditions with a below-30 print. 

Meanwhile, the 4-hour chart RSI has charted higher lows, contradicting lower lows on price. That bullish divergence indicates the bearish momentum has ebbed. The inverted hammer seen on the 4-hour chart is also echoing similar sentiments. 

The spot, therefore, could challenge the 4-hour chart resistance at 0.6585. The overall bias, however, would remain bearish as long as the pair is trapped in a falling channel on the daily chart. 

Also, corrective bounce to 0.6585, if any, could be short-lived, as bearish sentiment is quite strong, as indicated by Wednesday's big red marubozu candle. 

Daily chart

4-hour chart

Trend: Oversold bounce

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6557
Today Daily Change0.0004
Today Daily Change %0.06
Today daily open0.6553
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6682
Daily SMA500.681
Daily SMA1000.6822
Daily SMA2000.6845
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6608
Previous Daily Low0.6551
Previous Weekly High0.6734
Previous Weekly Low0.6585
Previous Monthly High0.704
Previous Monthly Low0.6682
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6573
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6586
Daily Pivot Point S10.6533
Daily Pivot Point S20.6514
Daily Pivot Point S30.6476
Daily Pivot Point R10.659
Daily Pivot Point R20.6628
Daily Pivot Point R30.6647

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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