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AUD/USD Price Analysis: Downside looks likely to near 0.6700 ahead of RBA policy

  • A downside bias is looming all-around ahead of the interest rate decision by the RBA.
  • The asset may find a cushion around 0.6700 ahead as the downside looks imminent.
  • A break into the 20.00-40.00 range by the RSI (14) is highly required to activate the declining mode.

The AUD/USD pair is experiencing modest selling pressure after facing barricades around 0.6800 in the late New York session. The major displayed a subdued performance on Monday after a gap down opening as investors shifted to the sidelines ahead of the interest rate decision by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).

On a four-hour scale, the asset is declining towards the two-year low at 0.6682, recorded on July 14. A downside bias has been strengthened as the asset has faced barricades around the critical resistance placed from the August 30 low at 0.6846.

The 20-and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at 0.6811 and 0.6846 respectively are declining, which adds to the downside filters.

However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in a 40.00-60.00 range, which indicates a consolidation ahead. For downside momentum, the RSI (14) is required to drop into the bearish range of 20.00-40.00.

Should the asset drop below Thursday’s low at 0.6770, the greenback bulls will get activated and may drag the aussie bulls towards the round-level support at 0.6700, followed by the 6 March 2020 high at 0.6657.

Alternatively, the aussie bulls could regain strength and may send the asset towards Wednesday’s high at 0.6904 and August 23 high at 0.6964, if the asset oversteps Friday’s high at 0.6855 decisively.

AUD/USD four-hour chart

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6848
Today Daily Change0.0036
Today Daily Change %0.53
Today daily open0.6812
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6942
Daily SMA500.6906
Daily SMA1000.6998
Daily SMA2000.7124
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6855
Previous Daily Low0.6779
Previous Weekly High0.7074
Previous Weekly Low0.6771
Previous Monthly High0.7137
Previous Monthly Low0.6835
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6826
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6808
Daily Pivot Point S10.6776
Daily Pivot Point S20.6739
Daily Pivot Point S30.6699
Daily Pivot Point R10.6852
Daily Pivot Point R20.6891
Daily Pivot Point R30.6928

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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