AUD/USD Price Analysis: Divergence confluence sealed the deal for the bears


  • AUD/USD sinks below key hourly trendline support following series of multi time frame bearish divergences.
  • A downside target is now located at the -272% Fibonacci retracement of the current correction's range.

As per the prior analysisAUD/USD Price Analysis: Hidden bearish divergence into the Employment data, AUD/USD has taken the bearish route and the divergence has played a role. 

As illustrated ahead of the Employment report on Wednesday, the hidden bearish divergence was highlighted as follows:

AUD/USD hourly chart

It was explained that ''the hidden bearish divergence is something that traders should be aware of in case there is a short to the downside. 

The HBD will offer additional conviction to those seeking to short the Aussie should there be a disappointment in the data. 

0.7320 will be key in this regard as it is the last defence following a potential trendline support break and a break there opens risk to a significant downside continuation in the coming sessions.''

AUD/USD, live market

As illustrated, the price has fallen, respecting the levels of support on the way down. 

What is also important to note, on the lower time frames, we had a confluence with the hourly hidden bearish divergences, making for a powerful bearish trend with plenty of momentum as follows:

AUD/USD, hourly live chart

With the price below the bearish 50 EMA channel, there are bearish prospects from a restest of the Fibonacci ratios, as illustrated above as the price drifts higher in a gradual and decelerating correction. 

A downside target is located at the -272% Fibonacci retracement of the current correction's range near 0.7265.

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