|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bears seek validation from 0.6430 support

  • AUD/USD holds lower ground near intraday bottom, keeps latest pullback from three-week high.
  • Bearish MACD signals, clear U-turn from the key resistance lines keep sellers hopeful.
  • 100-SMA could probe bears on the way to yearly low.

AUD/USD sellers poke the weekly support line near the intraday low surrounding 0.6430. In doing so, the Aussie pair prints the second consecutive intraday loss during early Friday morning in Europe.

Given the bearish MACD signals, as well as the pair’s sustained pullback from the six-week-old and three-week-long resistance lines near 0.6500, the AUD/USD prices are likely to break the immediate support line near 0.6430.

Following that, the 100-SMA support level near the 0.6330 and the 0.6300 round figure may test the AUD/USD bears before directing them to the yearly low surrounding 0.6170.

Alternatively, a confluence of the aforementioned resistance lines around 0.6500 appears a tough nut to crack for the AUD/USD buyers, a break of which could quickly propel the prices towards the monthly high near 0.6550.

In a case where AUD/USD buyers keep the reins past 0.6550, the mid-September highs near 0.6770 could gain the market’s attention ahead of the previous monthly peak of 0.6915. If the quote remains firmer past 0.6915, the 0.7000 psychological magnet will be crucial to track.

Overall, AUD/USD remains on the bear’s radar even as a short-term rebound can’t be ruled out.

AUD/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6436
Today Daily Change-0.0017
Today Daily Change %-0.26%
Today daily open0.6453
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6361
Daily SMA500.6594
Daily SMA1000.6759
Daily SMA2000.6994
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6522
Previous Daily Low0.6426
Previous Weekly High0.6393
Previous Weekly Low0.6197
Previous Monthly High0.6916
Previous Monthly Low0.6363
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6463
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6485
Daily Pivot Point S10.6412
Daily Pivot Point S20.6371
Daily Pivot Point S30.6315
Daily Pivot Point R10.6508
Daily Pivot Point R20.6563
Daily Pivot Point R30.6604

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims losses and returns to the 1.1750 area

The US Dollar resumed its decline in the American afternoon, helping EUR/USD trim early losses. The pair trades around 1.1750 as market participants gear up for the European Central Bank monetary policy decision and the United States Consumer Price Index.

GBP/USD flirts with 1.3400 after nearing 1.3300

The GBP/USD changed course after dipping with UK inflation data, and trades near the 1.3400 mark, as investors expect the Bank of England to deliver a 25 basis points interest rate cut after the two-day meeting on Thursday.

Gold maintains its positive momentum, trades around $4,330

The XAU/USD pair gained on a deteriorated market mood, trading near its weekly highs near $4,340. The bright metal advances with caution as market players await first-tier events in Europe and hte United States.

Bitcoin risks deeper correction as ETF outflows mount, derivative traders stay on the sidelines

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $87,000 on Wednesday, nearing a key support level. A decisive daily close below this zone could open the door to a deeper correction.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP slide further as risk-off sentiment deepens

Bitcoin faces extended pressure as institutional investors reduce their risk exposure. Ethereum’s upside capped at $3,000, weighed down by ETF outflows and bearish signals. XRP slides toward November’s support at $1.82 despite mild ETF inflows.