|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Aussie bulls meet offers as risk-off impulse rebounds

  • A descending triangle formation indicates a volatility contraction in the asset.
  • Aussie bulls have failed to keep the asset above the 20-and 50EMAs.
  • The downside break of the chart pattern could drag the asset below the psychological support of 0.6000.

The AUD/USD pair has sensed selling pressure while attempting to test Wednesday’s high at 0.6300 in the Tokyo session. The pullback move in the asset has terminated as the risk-off impulse has rebounded amid soaring anxiety ahead of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI). Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) has recovered its morning losses.

On an hourly scale, the asset is auctioning in a descending triangle chart pattern that indicates volatility contraction followed by wider ticks and heavy volume after an explosion. The horizontal support of the chart pattern is plotted from Tuesday’s low at 0.6247. While the downward-sloping trendline is placed from Tuesday’s high at 0.6346.

The antipodean has failed to keep the asset above the 20-and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at 0.6274 and 0.6282 respectively.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in a 40.00-60.00 range and has faced barricades while overstepping 60.00.

A downside break of Wednesday’s low at 0.6240 will drag the asset toward the round-level support at 0.6200 followed by April 2020 low at 0.5991.

On the flip side, a decisive break above October 4 high at 0.6548 will drive the asset toward the round-level resistance at 0.6600. A breach of the latter will expose the asset to smash the 50-EMA at 0.6661.

AUD/USD hourly chart

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6273
Today Daily Change-0.0004
Today Daily Change %-0.06
Today daily open0.6277
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6504
Daily SMA500.6741
Daily SMA1000.6852
Daily SMA2000.7042
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6299
Previous Daily Low0.6235
Previous Weekly High0.6548
Previous Weekly Low0.6354
Previous Monthly High0.6916
Previous Monthly Low0.6363
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6275
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.626
Daily Pivot Point S10.6242
Daily Pivot Point S20.6207
Daily Pivot Point S30.6178
Daily Pivot Point R10.6305
Daily Pivot Point R20.6334
Daily Pivot Point R30.6369

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1750 on first trading day of 2026

EUR/USD stays calm on Friday and trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1750 as trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).