|

AUD/USD holds steady after mixed US economic data, Wall Street’s positive close

  • AUD/USD slightly up at 0.6571, amidst strong US labor data and mixed US housing market signals.
  • US Dollar Index gains on US economic strength; Australian job market worries could influence RBA rate moves.
  • Markets await US Consumer Sentiment data and Federal Reserve officials' comments for further direction.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) begins Friday’s Asian session with minuscule gains of 0.02% against the US Dollar (USD), as the economy in the United States (US) remains resilient after the release of strong jobs reports and mixed housing data. At the time of writing, the AUD/USD exchanges hands at 0.6571.

AUD/USD balances between strong US jobs and mixed housing data

Wall Street finished the session with gains, while US Treasury bond yields advanced. The Greenback, as reported by the US Dollar Index (DXY), a basket of six currencies measured against the US Dollar, rose 0.14%, at 103.47, ending with gains for the fifth consecutive day.

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending January 13 increased to 187,000, lower than both the previous week's figures and the anticipated consensus of 207,000. At the same time, housing data was mixed with Building Permits rising 1.9%, reaching 1.495 million in December, up from 1.467 million in November and surpassing forecasts of 1.48 million.

Despite that, Housing Starts saw a decline, falling from 1.525 million in November to 1.46 million in December, a decrease of 4.3%, as reported by the US Commerce Department.

Aside from this, the latest Aussie employment report plunged 65,100, erasing an unexpected surge of November, missing forecasts for a 17,600 increase. The report could deter the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) from raising rates, as the central bank showed worries about wage growth.

On Friday, Australia’s economic docket was absent, but traders would get cues from the US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment and Federal Reserve speakers.

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The AUD/USD daily chart portrays the formation of a ‘bullish harami’ candlestick pattern, suggesting that prices might resume to the upside. Nevertheless, buyers will face stir resistance at the 200-day moving average (DMA) at 0.6579, followed by the 0.6600 figure. Conversely, if sellers keep prices from heading above the 200-DMA and push the exchange rate below the 100-DMA at 0.6514, that could pave the way to challenge 0.6500, followed by the next cycle low at 0.6450.

AUD/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6578
Today Daily Change0.0028
Today Daily Change %0.43
Today daily open0.655
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6735
Daily SMA500.6641
Daily SMA1000.6517
Daily SMA2000.6583
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6595
Previous Daily Low0.6525
Previous Weekly High0.6735
Previous Weekly Low0.6647
Previous Monthly High0.6871
Previous Monthly Low0.6526
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6552
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6568
Daily Pivot Point S10.6518
Daily Pivot Point S20.6487
Daily Pivot Point S30.6449
Daily Pivot Point R10.6588
Daily Pivot Point R20.6626
Daily Pivot Point R30.6658

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

Strategy strengthens balance sheet; aggressive Bitcoin buying gives way to capital discipline

Strategy's Bitcoin buying halt represents a shift away from relying solely on capital issuance toward a more active approach to liquidity management, according to a CryptoQuant report on Thursday. The firm noted that Strategy's Digital Credit Capital Framework directly addressed concerns about the company's cash reserves.

Chip stocks slide as strong earnings fail to calm AI concerns
Markets were not handed one clean reason to sell. They were given a collection of smaller problems and, in the thin air of a summer session, decided there was no reason to lean against any of them. US equities weakened, the Nasdaq again carried the heavier load, Treasury yields edged higher, the dollar firmed, and gold slipped below $4,000/oz.
-0.4%: Why the biggest CPI drop since 2020 couldn't buy back a single cut

The June CPI fell 0.4% on the month, the largest one-month decline since April 2020, dragging the annual rate to 3.5% from May's 4.2% and snapping a three-month acceleration streak. Core prices went nowhere, flat on the month and down to 2.6% YoY, both under consensus.