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AUD/USD basks in improved risk sentiment

  • AUD/USD bulls move in on critical resistance territories. 
  • Risk appetite improves and supports the commodity complex. 

At 0.7300, AUD/USD is higher by 0.12% as it oscillates between 0.7290/7300 and just below the 21-day moving average. 

In New York, the dollar fell across the board on Thursday as improved risk sentiment in global financial markets wiped out its post-Federal reserve gains. On China's return from holidays, Beijing injected fresh cash into its financial system ahead of an $83.5 million bond coupon by embattled property giant Evergrande. This, in turn, has lifted commodity currencies, equities and sank the US dollar.

US dollar on the backfoot

The US dollar currency index, DXY, which measures the greenback against a basket of six rivals, is down 0.38% at the time of writing trading at 93.081 after making its biggest daily percentage drop in a month, engulfing the Fed day bullish daily candle.

However, in the 93 areas, DXY remains near the 10-month high touched in late August of 93.73. Meanwhile, the offshore Chinese yuan has also strengthened versus the greenback to 6.4587 which also offers support to the Australian dollar. 

The improved risk appetite was reflected in Wall Street's major equity indexes, with the S&P 500 making its largest two-day percentage gain since late July. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve said it will likely begin tapering its monthly bond purchases as soon as November which initially dented stocks and risk appetite. However, markets on Thursday have run with the positive economic outlook in the Fed's forecasts instead and have cheered the conciliate words from Evergrande's spokespeople.

Evergrande has resolved one coupon payment on a Shenzhen-traded bond but was due to pay $83.5 million in interest on a $2 billion offshore bond on Thursday and also has a $47.5 million dollar-bond interest payment next week. There is a 30-day window to arrange the payments for which the company says it endeavours to settle. 

''Evergrande Chairman Hui Ka Yan urged his executives late on Wednesday to ensure the delivery of quality properties and the redemption of its wealth management products, which are typically held by millions of retail investors in China,'' Reuters reported. 

Overall, ''risks for the AUD seem to be improving, however, sentiment from Asian asset markets will remain key,'' analysts at ANZ Bank said in a note on Friday. 

AUD/USD technical analysis

 

Overview
Today last price0.7299
Today Daily Change0.0054
Today Daily Change %0.75
Today daily open0.7245
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7332
Daily SMA500.7332
Daily SMA1000.7492
Daily SMA2000.76
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7297
Previous Daily Low0.7222
Previous Weekly High0.7377
Previous Weekly Low0.7262
Previous Monthly High0.7427
Previous Monthly Low0.7106
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7269
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7251
Daily Pivot Point S10.7213
Daily Pivot Point S20.718
Daily Pivot Point S30.7138
Daily Pivot Point R10.7287
Daily Pivot Point R20.7329
Daily Pivot Point R30.7362

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

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