Currently, AUD/NZD is trading at 1.0693, up 0.09% on the day, having posted a daily high at 1.0709 and low at 1.0681.
AUD/NZD has taken off with the recovery in the Aussie dominating the antipodeans after Fed chair Yellen delivered a bullish case for the economy and hawkish rhetoric on behalf of the FOMC. This knocked the wind out of the kiwi and Aussie temporarily, but the market simply remains long of the commodity bloc despite a resurgence in the greenback.
- Fed's Yellen: Some policies being discussed in Washington may raise deficits or help productivity
- Fed's Yellen: Will wait to gain further clarity on economic policy changes
- Waiting too long to tighten would be unwise - Fed's J.Yellen
- More rate hikes may be appropriate in upcoming meetings - Fed's J.Yellen
- Fed's Yellen agrees with core principles of Trump's executive order on financial reform
In respect to the kiwi, it has a strong run this year so far with the NZ economy stronger than anticipated so far. Dairy prices have risen as well. However, the cross retains positive momentum, as noted by analysts at Westpac who said that it comes with the potential for a break above 1.0700 to 1.0765 (14 Oct high). "Strong iron ore prices provide near-term fundamental support."
AUD/NZD 1-3 month:
The same analysts expect the cross to go higher to the 1.0650-1.0770 area, mainly for valuation reasons. "The cross remains well below fair value estimates implied by interest rates, commodity prices and risk sentiment."
Australian Consumer Confidence Index for Feb came out +2.3% m/m to 99.6 vrs prior +0.1% to 97.4. We also had Alexandra Heath, the Head of Economic Analysis Department at the Reserve Bank of Australia taking earlier who was optimistic in respect of the Australian economy and is expecting inflation to pick up.
Current price is 1.0693, with resistance ahead at 1.0701 (Daily Classic R2), 1.0724 (Daily Classic R3) and 1.0768 (Weekly Classic R1). Next support to the downside can be found at 1.0685 (Hourly 20 EMA), with next key level at 1.0689 (50 hourly sma) and on the wide we have 1.0528 (200 hourly smoothed ma).
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