|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Further upside hinges on 83.40 break

  • AUD/JPY stays sidelined after refreshing the monthly high.
  • Clear upside break of 50-DMA, firmer RSI hint at further advances of the quote.
  • Late November swing highs challenge bulls, 100-DMA restricts the bear’s entry.

AUD/JPY bulls take a breather after renewing the monthly top near 83.20 during early Tuesday’s Asian session.

The cross-currency pair’s upside momentum gains support from the first daily closing beyond the 50-DMA in over a month and firmer RSI line, not overbought. However, tops marked during late November, around 83.40, seem to restrict the quote’s additional run-up.

Should the quote rises past 83.40, the 84.00 threshold and mid-November’s high near 84.15 will be in focus ahead of late October’s bottom of 84.60.

Meanwhile, pullback moves remain elusive until staying beyond the 50-DMA and the 200-DMA levels, respectively near 82.80 and 82.60.

Even so, the 100-DMA and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of August-October upside, close to 81.90 and 81.10 in that order, will test the AUD/JPY bears before giving them the controls.

AUD/JPY: Daily chart

Trend: Further upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price83.17
Today Daily Change0.42
Today Daily Change %0.51%
Today daily open82.75
 
Trends
Daily SMA2081.12
Daily SMA5082.92
Daily SMA10081.86
Daily SMA20082.68
 
Levels
Previous Daily High82.92
Previous Daily Low82.55
Previous Weekly High82.99
Previous Weekly Low80.27
Previous Monthly High86.06
Previous Monthly Low80.12
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%82.69
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%82.78
Daily Pivot Point S182.56
Daily Pivot Point S282.37
Daily Pivot Point S382.2
Daily Pivot Point R182.93
Daily Pivot Point R283.11
Daily Pivot Point R383.3

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD trims gains, back to around 1.3500

GBP/USD now surrenders part of the earlier move to multi-week peaks around 1.3530 and comes close to the 1.3500 support on Monday. Cable’s uptick comes in tandem with decent gains in the Greenback, always amid persistent uncertainty lingering over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and US-Iran talks.

EUR/USD deflates to 1.1540

EUR/USD begins the week on the back foot, retesting the 1.1540 zone as the NA session draws to a close. The better tone in the US Dollar weighs on the risk complex, sparking the daily correction in spot, always on the back of unabated effervescence in the Middle East.

Gold clings to daily gains; focus is back to $4,400

Gold picks up pace and advances past the $4,350 mark per troy ounce, adding to Friday’s gains. That said, the yellow metal keeps pushing harder despite the better tone in the US Dollar, and is closely following the Fed’s interest-rate outlook as well as developments in the Middle East

Bitcoin vs Gold Overview: XAU tests breakout, BTC slides as Trump claims Iran negotiations
The cryptocurrency market shows signs of trimming gains accrued last week as Bitcoin (BTC) slides below $65,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Meanwhile, Gold (XAU/USD) maintains a bullish outlook, hovering above $4,350.
US Payrolls miss – RBA on deck tomorrow
It would be remiss of me not to kick off this morning’s report with a rundown of last Friday’s US jobs report, which was a belter. Headline payrolls fell by 23,000, versus expectations of an 80,000 gain. The BLS noted that May was revised down by 66,000 (from 129,000) and June by 37,000 (from 57,000), resulting in combined May-June revisions of 103,000 lower than previous reports.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.