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AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Friday's bullish close looking for a rebound into 98.00

The AUD/JPY saw a late break higher in Friday's broad-market sentiment recovery.
The Aussie is catching a bounce from the 200-hour SMA and a rising trendline.
The technicals are leaning bullish with more upside on the cards, but headwinds remain.

Joshua Gibson FXStreet

The AUD/JPY snuck over the 97.50 level just ahead of the Friday closing bell, trying to claw back some of the midweek's losses after the pair tumbled from a Wednesday peak of 98.66.

The AUD/JPY closed out the trading week with some gains, up nearly 1.2% from Monday's opening bids near 96.40, but the back half of the week was marred by a 1.75% decline that only saw a minor paring back in late Friday trading.

With the Aussie (AUD) bouncing off a technical confluence of the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) and a rising trendline drawn from late October's swing low into 94.25, the pair is set for a bullish continuation as long as broad-market fundamentals keep risk appetite on the high side.

Daily candlesticks are flashing warning signs that the current bullish push could be running out of gas.

The AUD/JPY is at risk of getting pulled back towards the 50-day SMA near 95.50, and long-term technical support is far below current price action at the 200-day SMA rising from 93.00.

November's rise out of October's consolidation phase could face a near-term bearish breakdown, with the last swing low into the 96.00 handle acting as the immediate support level for bears to beat.

AUD/JPY Hourly Chart

AUD/JPY Daily Chart

AUD/JPY Technical Levels

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price	97.5
Today Daily Change	0.04
Today Daily Change %	0.04
Today daily open	97.46

Trends
Daily SMA20	96.26
Daily SMA50	95.53
Daily SMA100	94.99
Daily SMA200	93.12

Levels
Previous Daily High	98.66
Previous Daily Low	97.24
Previous Weekly High	97.6
Previous Weekly Low	96.04
Previous Monthly High	96.42
Previous Monthly Low	93.05
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	97.79
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	98.12
Daily Pivot Point S1	96.92
Daily Pivot Point S2	96.37
Daily Pivot Point S3	95.5
Daily Pivot Point R1	98.34
Daily Pivot Point R2	99.21
Daily Pivot Point R3	99.75

Author

Joshua Gibson

FXStreet

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

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