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AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Friday's bullish close looking for a rebound into 98.00

  • The AUD/JPY saw a late break higher in Friday's broad-market sentiment recovery.
  • The Aussie is catching a bounce from the 200-hour SMA and a rising trendline.
  • The technicals are leaning bullish with more upside on the cards, but headwinds remain.

The AUD/JPY snuck over the 97.50 level just ahead of the Friday closing bell, trying to claw back some of the midweek's losses after the pair tumbled from a Wednesday peak of 98.66.

The AUD/JPY closed out the trading week with some gains, up nearly 1.2% from Monday's opening bids near 96.40, but the back half of the week was marred by a 1.75% decline that only saw a minor paring back in late Friday trading.

With the Aussie (AUD) bouncing off a technical confluence of the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) and a rising trendline drawn from late October's swing low into 94.25, the pair is set for a bullish continuation as long as broad-market fundamentals keep risk appetite on the high side.

Daily candlesticks are flashing warning signs that the current bullish push could be running out of gas.

The AUD/JPY is at risk of getting pulled back towards the 50-day SMA near 95.50, and long-term technical support is far below current price action at the 200-day SMA rising from 93.00.

November's rise out of October's consolidation phase could face a near-term bearish breakdown, with the last swing low into the 96.00 handle acting as the immediate support level for bears to beat.

AUD/JPY Hourly Chart

AUD/JPY Daily Chart

AUD/JPY Technical Levels

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price97.5
Today Daily Change0.04
Today Daily Change %0.04
Today daily open97.46
 
Trends
Daily SMA2096.26
Daily SMA5095.53
Daily SMA10094.99
Daily SMA20093.12
 
Levels
Previous Daily High98.66
Previous Daily Low97.24
Previous Weekly High97.6
Previous Weekly Low96.04
Previous Monthly High96.42
Previous Monthly Low93.05
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%97.79
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%98.12
Daily Pivot Point S196.92
Daily Pivot Point S296.37
Daily Pivot Point S395.5
Daily Pivot Point R198.34
Daily Pivot Point R299.21
Daily Pivot Point R399.75

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

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