AUD/JPY Price Analysis: 100-SMA tests sellers cheering seven-week-old support break


  • AUD/JPY struggles to fill the downside gap at the weekly open.
  • Bearish MACD, clear break of the key trend line support, now resistance, direct sellers toward 200-SMA.
  • Bulls need to cross 84.70 to retake the controls.

AUD/JPY consolidates recent losses around 83.85 following its drop to the two-week low at the week’s start. In doing so, the quote manages to bounce off 100-SMA but keeps a downside break of an ascending trend line from January 28.

Considering the bearish MACD and sustained break of the previous key support, AUD/JPY bears are likely rolling up their sleeves for further downside.

As a result, the pair’s further downside towards the 83.00 round-figure can’t be ruled out whereas the 200-SMA level of 82.88 may challenge AUD/JPY sellers afterward.

Meanwhile, an upside break of the immediate resistance line, previous support, around 84.00, requires decisive trading beyond one-month-old falling trend line hurdle, at 84.70 now, to restore bulls’ confidence.

Overall, AUD/JPY looks set to trim early 2021 gains unless the pair defies the latest trend line breakdown.

AUD/JPY four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 83.83
Today Daily Change -0.44
Today Daily Change % -0.52%
Today daily open 84.27
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 83.78
Daily SMA50 81.92
Daily SMA100 79.71
Daily SMA200 77.57
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 84.69
Previous Daily Low 84.12
Previous Weekly High 85.45
Previous Weekly Low 84.11
Previous Monthly High 84.95
Previous Monthly Low 79.54
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 84.34
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 84.47
Daily Pivot Point S1 84.03
Daily Pivot Point S2 83.78
Daily Pivot Point S3 83.45
Daily Pivot Point R1 84.6
Daily Pivot Point R2 84.94
Daily Pivot Point R3 85.18

 

 

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