Steve Ruffley
SteveRuffley.com
Summary
The Elliot Wave theory is another great example of a technical analysis tool that relies on the ‘self-fulfilling’’ nature of trading. The trick with interpreting the Elliot wave in my opinion is certainly on the 3rd wave. The Elliott Wave Principle posits that collective investor psychology, or crowd psychology, moves between optimism and pessimism in natural sequences. These mood swings create patterns evidenced in the price movements of markets at every degree of trend or time scale. In Elliott's model, market prices alternate between an impulsive, or motive phase, and a corrective phase on all time scales of trend, as the illustration shows. Impulses are always subdivided into a set of 5 lower-degree waves, alternating again between motive and corrective character, so that waves 1, 3, and 5 are impulses, and waves 2 and 4 are smaller retraces of waves 1 and 3. Corrective waves subdivide into 3 smaller-degree waves starting with a five-wave counter-trend impulse, a retrace, and another impulse. In a bear market the dominant trend is downward, so the pattern is reversed—five waves down and three up. Motive waves always move with the trend, while corrective waves move against it. Personally I never trade the Elliot wave on the way up, only on the way down. This is a much more robust way of making sure you apply the correct rules and make maximum profits. I will show you how I trade, then you will not be trading the ‘theory’ but the resulting price correction and action.Latest Live Videos
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD tumbles toward 0.6400 amid weak Australian Q3 GDP and Chinese PMI
AUD/USD is under intense selling pressure, fast-approaching 0.6400 early Wednesday. The pair bears the brunt of weaker Australian Q3 GDP data, disappointing Chinese Caixin Services PMI and US-Sino trade worries. Focus shifts to more US data and Powell's speech.
USD/JPY consolidates the uptick to near 150.10
USD/JPY is back below 150.00 in Wednesday's Asian session, struggling to extend the latest leg higher as bets for a December BoJ rate hike underpin the the Japanese Yen. However, the downside remains capped amid increased haven demand for the US Dollar on growing tariff war fears.
Gold price traders await Powell's speech for rate cut cues
Gold price extends its sideways consolidative move during the Asian session on Wednesday as traders opted to wait for Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech. Apart from this, the US NFP report on Friday might provide cues about the interest rate outlook in the US and provide a fresh impetus to the non-yielding XAU/USD.
Paul Atkins shows reluctance to replace SEC Chair Gary Gensler
Paul Atkins, regarded as a leading candidate to succeed Gary Gensler as Chairman of the Securities & Exchange Commission, has reportedly expressed a lack of enthusiasm for the position.
The fall of Barnier’s government would be bad news for the French economy
This French political stand-off is just one more negative for the euro. With the eurozone economy facing the threat of tariffs in 2025 and the region lacking any prospect of cohesive fiscal support, the potential fall of the French government merely adds to views that the ECB will have to do the heavy lifting in 2025.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.