Elliott Wave Forecast Team
ElliottWave-Forecast.com
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a very popular momentum based indicator that is specifically used within technical analysis by market technicians. It measures the speed and magnitude of an instruments most recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions in the price. Developed by J.Welles Wilder Jr in the late 70s as a line graph based oscillator.
Why do traders use them?
Traders can use RSI to predict momentum and behaviour of a financial instrument. It helps traders validate trends and trend reversals. Easy to spot whether an instrument is overbought or oversold. It can in some cases support other indicators as well. Finally, we can measure whether momentum is running out of steam by price and the RSI diverging against each other.
RSI are usually plotted at the bottom of the chart so they can compare the line graph with the price action of the instrument it is measuring.
Divergences
One of the most common ways RSI are praised to be used are for spotting divergences. In a bullish trend, when price is extended and forming new higher highs – the intervals between each high may get smaller and shorter as price progresses. The RSI would measure this and start forming lower lows, therefore diverging against the main price action. This would give us an indication that the instrument’s trend is running out of momentum.
Most common settings used
RSI is set to measure the price to the last 14 days of price action with levels set between 30 and 70. RSI above or below this level is considered to be either overbought or oversold.
Here are EWF – we primarily use Elliott Wave to label our charts to provide context of the individual waves. However, we use indicators such as the RSI and the Stochastic indicator to measure momentum. Next week I will be covering the Stochastic indicators.
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Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD tests nine-day EMA support near 1.1850
EUR/USD remains in the negative territory for the fourth successive session, trading around 1.1870 during the Asian hours on Friday. The 14-day Relative Strength Index momentum indicator at 56 stays above the midline, confirming steady momentum. RSI has eased but remains above 50, indicating momentum remains constructive for the bulls.
GBP/USD consolidates around 1.3600 vs. USD; looks to US CPI for fresh impetus
The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive through the Asian session on Friday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 1.3600 mark as traders await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing directional bets.
USD/JPY rebounds above 153.00 ahead of US inflation data
USD/JPY stages a comeback and regains 153.00 in the Asian session, snapping a four-day losing streak amid some repositioning ahead of the US CPI report. However, expectations that Japan's PM Sanae Takaichi could be more fiscally responsible, along with bets that the BoJ will stick to its policy normalization path and the risk-off mood, could support the safe-haven Japanese Yen, capping the pair's upside.
Editors’ Picks
USD/JPY rebounds above 153.00 ahead of US inflation data
USD/JPY stages a comeback and regains 153.00 in the Asian session, snapping a four-day losing streak amid some repositioning ahead of the US CPI report. However, expectations that Japan's PM Sanae Takaichi could be more fiscally responsible, along with bets that the BoJ will stick to its policy normalization path and the risk-off mood, could support the safe-haven Japanese Yen, capping the pair's upside.
Gold: Will US CPI data trigger a range breakout?
Gold retakes $5,000 early Friday amid a turnaround from weekly lows as US CPI data loom. The US Dollar consolidates weekly losses as AI concerns-driven risk-off mood stalls downside. Technically, Gold appears primed for a big range breakout, with risks skewed toward a bullish break.
AUD/USD consolidates below 0.7100 as traders await US CPI report
AUD/USD consolidates the previous day's retracement slide from the vicinity of mid-0.7100s, or a three-year high, holding below 0.7100 as traders move to the sidelines ahead of Friday's release of the US consumer inflation figures. In the meantime, the divergent RBA-Fed outlooks might continue to support spot prices amid subdued US Dollar demand, though the risk-off impulse could act as a headwind for the Aussie.
Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple stay weak as bearish momentum persists
Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple remain under pressure, extending losses of over 5%, 6% and 4%, respectively, so far this week. BTC trades below $67,000 while ETH and XRP correct after facing rejection around key levels. With bearish momentum persisting and prices staying weak, the top three cryptocurrencies continue to show no clear signs of a sustained recovery.
A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness
Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.
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