For years, brokers and mutual fund managers have been telling investors to dollar cost average. This is a strategy where the investor consistently adds equal amounts of money to their investment on a regular basis. Due to market fluctuations, the investor should be able to buy more shares when the price is down and less shares when the price rises. The theory behind this is that after a period of time the investor would have a better cost basis for their investments than if they had invested a lump sum all at once. Many brokers believe that an individual cannot time the market and is better off averaging their costs.
While this may work in theory, in real life traders know this is not the case. Brokers caught onto Dollar cost averaging as a way to increase their commissions and appease clients who may be facing losses. If this strategy was applied to a stock in the beginning of 2008, 2000 or any market bubble, it would have had disastrous results.
Since traders and investors can make a greater profit by timing the markets, what would happen if we added to our winning trades? In the courses at Online Trading Academy, we constantly talk about letting your profits run, and in the Extended Learning Tracks we teach how to manage trades in progress. If you are in a trade that is working out, you know you were right on the direction. Why not add to your winnings at a reasonable place to capture more profits in the position? Bigger winners will allow you to have a larger cushion to cover any small losses in your trading.
So the question is: where would be the logical place to add to your winning positions? You do not want to arbitrarily add just because your position is gaining. Many times, we may end up adding to the winner just after a fast move in our favor, only to see the prices correct and the new addition to our position start losing.
Obviously, we need a logical, low risk opportunity to add to our winners. This is like what we want when we enter the position initially. There are several setups that offer low risk, high probability and high profit potential that are taught in the Professional Trader course. These setups are perfect for adding to winning positions. We can add to our winners on retracements to zones and/or patterns called Momentum Breakouts (MBO).
There are several momentum breakout patterns that we identify, but don’t have the space to describe them in detail here. However, you are looking for a certain pattern that still allows you to buy near a demand zone and sell near a supply zone.
The momentum breakout trading opportunities are also perfect for intraday trading on days where there is a large gap and go in a stock. Many traders get frustrated when they see a stock screaming to new highs or dropping fast after a gap down without them on board. Learning the momentum breakout strategies will give you an opportunity to trade these situations with lower risk.
The market turns can be timed. At Online Trading Academy, we teach our students proper market timing techniques through rule based trading. What we do not teach is an outdated strategy that can put student’s capital at great risk. Until next time, trade safe and trade well!
Neither Freedom Management Partners nor any of its personnel are registered broker-dealers or investment advisers. I will mention that I consider certain securities or positions to be good candidates for the types of strategies we are discussing or illustrating. Because I consider the securities or positions appropriate to the discussion or for illustration purposes does not mean that I am telling you to trade the strategies or securities. Keep in mind that we are not providing you with recommendations or personalized advice about your trading activities. The information we are providing is not tailored to any individual. Any mention of a particular security is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security or a suggestion that it is suitable for any specific person. Keep in mind that all trading involves a risk of loss, and this will always be the situation, regardless of whether we are discussing strategies that are intended to limit risk. Also, Freedom Management Partners’ personnel are not subject to trading restrictions. I and others at Freedom Management Partners could have a position in a security or initiate a position in a security at any time.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630
EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.
GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320
GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.
Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200
Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut
Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.
Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides
Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.
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