Predicting the forex markets can be a challenging, yet doable thing to master. The challenge lies in the requirement of constant market analysis and consistently applying your skills. Your perception of the market will help you predict trends, find the best possible entries, and exits. So it is absolutely clear that it is critical that you understand what you are seeing on your trading monitor.
When predicting the forex markets it is important to focus both on the most recent price development/candle designs, but also to never lose track of the bigger picture. There are many tools to stay aware of both and that help you be in sync with the market. Being in sync with the market means knowing the story from front to end (or most recent developments).
The story
So what is this story? I'll try to keep it as basic as possible, otherwise it will become to lengthy an article. The more detailed version of this is taught in the elite members area of Forex Watchers and from experience I know it will take some time before traders get a full grasp of it.
The story is based on reading all the candle design that has happened in the near past. How far you go back depends on the time frame you're trading, but you need to see several swings on one time frame higher. The emphasis really is on reading the market candle by candle. What did price do at which areas, asking yourself questions like "why did it react from there and not from there?" or "how come that reaction was so strong?". It really comes down to figuring out what happened and why. Trying to do this based purely on the technical read will often give you the upper hand in predicting the forex markets and even big news events. Just remember, everything happens for a reason.
Final words
Focusing just on certain candle patterns or just on the most recent developments will leave you exposed to things you don't expect to happen. Successful trading really is the sum of all your skills and education applied to the market. So you need to educate yourself as much as you can and then use that skill set and knowledge and apply it appropriately.
#UrbanForex - Be conscious of your trading!
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Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD: Bulls pray for a dovish Fed
EUR/USD has finally taken a breather after a pretty energetic climb. The pair broke above 1.1680 in the second half of the week, reaching its highest levels in around two months before running into some selling pressure. Even so, it has gained almost two cents from the late-November dip just below 1.1500 the figure.
GBP/USD consolidates around 1.3330 as traders await Fed rate decision
The GBP/USD pair kicks off the new week on a subdued note and oscillates in a narrow trading band, around the 1.3320-1.3325 region, during the Asian session. Spot prices, however, remain close to the highest level since October 22, touched last Thursday, with bulls awaiting a sustained strength and acceptance above the 100-day Simple Moving Average before placing fresh bets.
USD/JPY loses momentum below 155.50 as Fed rate cut looms, Japan-China military tensions flare
The USD/JPY pair loses ground to near 155.25 during the early Asian session on Monday. The US Dollar weakens against the Japanese Yen as traders brace for the Federal Reserve meeting this week, where policymakers are widely expected to cut interest rates.
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD bulls pause for a breather ahead of the RBA/Fed decisions this week
AUD/USD is seen consolidating its recent strong gains to the highest level since September 18, reached on Friday, as traders move to the sidelines ahead of this week's key central bank event risks. The RBA is scheduled to announce its rate decision on Tuesday, followed by the outcome of the two-day FOMC meeting on Wednesday. In the meantime, the RBA's hawkish tilt acts as a tailwind for the Aussie, while rising bets on a Fed rate cut undermine the US Dollar and support the currency pair.
USD/JPY loses momentum below 155.50 as Fed rate cut looms, Japan-China military tensions flare
The USD/JPY pair loses ground to near 155.25 during the early Asian session on Monday. The US Dollar weakens against the Japanese Yen as traders brace for the Federal Reserve meeting this week, where policymakers are widely expected to cut interest rates.
Gold drifts higher above $4,200 on Fed rate cut expectations
Gold price trades in positive territory near $4,205 during the early Asian session on Monday. The precious metal edges higher as markets widely expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at its December meeting on Wednesday.
Week ahead: Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides
Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low. Dollar weakness could linger; both the aussie and the yen best positioned to gain further. Gold and oil eye Ukraine-Russia developments; a peace deal remains elusive.
The Silver disconnection is real
Silver just hit a new all-time high. Neither did gold, nor mining stocks. They all reversed on an intraday basis, but silver’s move to new highs makes it still bullish overall, while the almost complete reversals in gold and miners make the latter technically bearish.
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Successful trading often comes down to timing – entering and exiting trades at the right moments. Yet timing the market is notoriously difficult, largely because human psychology can derail even the best plans. Two powerful emotions in particular – fear and greed – tend to drive trading decisions off course.