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In my first article on Point and Figure (P&F) charting, I discussed the basics of creating that style of chart. In this article, I will build upon that knowledge and show more advanced methods for identifying patterns and projecting price movement. I want to mention that I tend to use this method of charting for longer term swing or position trades rather than intraday.  Remember that time is not a factor while attempting to achieve targets in P&F and you will likely hold positions for some time.

Patterns in P&F charts are a bit different than what you may be used to in candlestick charting.  A triple top formation is not necessarily a reversal formation, it could be continuation.  It will still offer a trading opportunity however.  Look at the following examples of both the bullish and bearish triple formation.

India Markets

India Markets

Even patterns such as triangles are visible and tradable on P&F charts. They will work in much the same manner as they would on candlestick charts.

India Markets

India Markets

In the previous article, ”Point and Figure,” I discussed the use of horizontal price projections.
Many traders choose a different price projection method. If you are not using a 1 box reversal chart and have instead selected a three box, (this refers to how much price would have to reverse for you to start a new column Rs. 10×3 means price would have reversed a minimum of Rs. 30), you can try the vertical price projection method. I have found this style to be more accurate in projecting targets.

The vertical price projection can only be made under certain circumstances. They are:

 

  1. 1st move off a bottom (1st row of X’s)

  2. 1st move down from top (1st row of O’s)

  3. 2nd move from top or bottom

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Once you have counted the correct column, you can multiply that count by the per box value and then multiply that number by the size for reversal. Your result should then be added to either the price bottom or subtracted from the price top to give you the price projection.

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Now that we know the basics and what to look for, let’s examine a few P&F charts to see this technique in action. I have a chart of the Nifty in a 70×3 point and figure format. The 70 means I need a minimum of a 70 point move between closing prices to make a new box of X’s or O’s. I must also have a minimum of 210 points (70×3), to start a new column for a reversal. The numbers and letters refer to the months (1-9 are Jan. to Sept., A-C are Oct. to Dec.)

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I can do the same with charts of individual stocks. I can adjust the box size on the chart for stocks or the indexes due to their higher or lower prices.

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If you are looking for smaller duration trades, you can lessen the box size and also the closing periods. I had been using the daily closes on the previous charts. Depending on the trading software that you use, you can set box size smaller. This makes the chart more sensitive and allows me to see intraday activity. I can set the chart’s period to five minutes. If the close from a five minute period would cause a change in the chart, it is noted instead of waiting for the daily close.

By adjusting the box size and even what closing price the box will use, you can create all types of interesting charts to follow trends in the intraday or even multi decade trend following charts. The possibilities are limitless. Next week we will examine more strategies on point and figure charts and how to use them in conjunction with our core strategy of supply and demand.

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Neither Freedom Management Partners nor any of its personnel are registered broker-dealers or investment advisers. I will mention that I consider certain securities or positions to be good candidates for the types of strategies we are discussing or illustrating. Because I consider the securities or positions appropriate to the discussion or for illustration purposes does not mean that I am telling you to trade the strategies or securities. Keep in mind that we are not providing you with recommendations or personalized advice about your trading activities. The information we are providing is not tailored to any individual. Any mention of a particular security is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security or a suggestion that it is suitable for any specific person. Keep in mind that all trading involves a risk of loss, and this will always be the situation, regardless of whether we are discussing strategies that are intended to limit risk. Also, Freedom Management Partners’ personnel are not subject to trading restrictions. I and others at Freedom Management Partners could have a position in a security or initiate a position in a security at any time.

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EUR/USD holds steady near 1.0650 amid risk reset

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.0650 amid risk reset

EUR/USD is holding onto its recovery mode near 1.0650 in European trading on Friday. A recovery in risk sentiment is helping the pair, as the safe-haven US Dollar pares gains. Earlier today, reports of an Israeli strike inside Iran spooked markets. 

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GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

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GBP/USD is rebounding toward 1.2450 in early Europe on Friday, having tested 1.2400 after the UK Retail Sales volumes stagnated again in March, The pair recovers in tandem with risk sentiment, as traders take account of the likely Israel's missile strikes on Iran. 

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USD/JPY holds ground as Iran plans no immediate retaliation against the Israeli airstrikes

USD/JPY holds ground as Iran plans no immediate retaliation against the Israeli airstrikes

USD/JPY maintains its position around 154.50 after partially recovering its daily losses on Friday. Reuters reported that an Iranian official stated there is currently no immediate plan for retaliation against the Israeli airstrikes. The Greenback gained traction after Fed officials conveyed hawkish messages on Thursday.

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Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.0650 amid risk reset

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.0650 amid risk reset

EUR/USD is holding onto its recovery mode near 1.0650 in European trading on Friday. A recovery in risk sentiment is helping the pair, as the safe-haven US Dollar pares gains. Earlier today, reports of an Israeli strike inside Iran spooked markets. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD is rebounding toward 1.2450 in early Europe on Friday, having tested 1.2400 after the UK Retail Sales volumes stagnated again in March, The pair recovers in tandem with risk sentiment, as traders take account of the likely Israel's missile strikes on Iran. 

GBP/USD News

Gold: Middle East war fears spark fresh XAU/USD rally, will it sustain?

Gold: Middle East war fears spark fresh XAU/USD rally, will it sustain?

Gold price is trading close to $2,400 early Friday, reversing from a fresh five-day high reached at $2,418 earlier in the Asian session. Despite the pullback, Gold price remains on track to book the fifth weekly gain in a row.

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Bitcoin Price Outlook: All eyes on BTC as CNN calls halving the ‘World Cup for Bitcoin’

Bitcoin Price Outlook: All eyes on BTC as CNN calls halving the ‘World Cup for Bitcoin’

Bitcoin price remains the focus of traders and investors ahead of the halving, which is an important event expected to kick off the next bull market. Amid conflicting forecasts from analysts, an international media site has lauded the halving and what it means for the industry.   

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Geopolitics once again take centre stage, as UK Retail Sales wither

Geopolitics once again take centre stage, as UK Retail Sales wither

Nearly a week to the day when Iran sent drones and missiles into Israel, Israel has retaliated and sent a missile into Iran. The initial reports caused a large uptick in the oil price.

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