Ming Jong Tey
Independent Analyst
“What do you mean by let the market play out? I though you are bullish!” This is a common question I get from time to time from readers.
A lot of time, I tend to respond with “stick to your trading plan and let the market play out” despite I have formed a directional bias with my analysis.
For example, If I am bullish on Stock A based on the analysis of the characters of the price action and the volume, I will still consider the opposite case (or the failure case).
Some of the questions i would ask myself
1. At what point my analysis will be invalidated and turn bearish?
2. What are the characters of the price action and volume would I anticipate for a failure case?
My trading plan is to prepare for both scenarios despite it is very clear that there is only 1 scenario plays out at the moment. My trading plan helps me to react and execute according to how the market move, rather than to prove me right. It needs to help me to get out when the market doesn’t agree with me.
So, analyze the charts as usual and have your trading plan ready so that you will react and execute your plan accordingly and comfortably. Meanwhile, watch the video below to find out how I analyze penny stocks with pure price and volume analysis:
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Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1850 as markets eye Eurozone GDP, US CPI inflation releases
The EUR/USD pair trades on a flat note near 1.1870 during the early Asian session on Friday. The major pair steadies amid mixed signals from the latest release of US economic indicators. Traders await the preliminary reading of the Eurozone Gross Domestic Product for the fourth quarter and US inflation data, which are published later on Friday.
GBP/USD consolidates around 1.3600 vs. USD; looks to US CPI for fresh impetus
The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive through the Asian session on Friday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 1.3600 mark as traders await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing directional bets.
USD/JPY rebounds above 153.00 ahead of US inflation data
USD/JPY stages a comeback and regains 153.00 in the Asian session, snapping a four-day losing streak amid some repositioning ahead of the US CPI report. However, expectations that Japan's PM Sanae Takaichi could be more fiscally responsible, along with bets that the BoJ will stick to its policy normalization path and the risk-off mood, could support the safe-haven Japanese Yen, capping the pair's upside.
Editors’ Picks
USD/JPY rebounds above 153.00 ahead of US inflation data
USD/JPY stages a comeback and regains 153.00 in the Asian session, snapping a four-day losing streak amid some repositioning ahead of the US CPI report. However, expectations that Japan's PM Sanae Takaichi could be more fiscally responsible, along with bets that the BoJ will stick to its policy normalization path and the risk-off mood, could support the safe-haven Japanese Yen, capping the pair's upside.
Gold: Will US CPI data trigger a range breakout?
Gold retakes $5,000 early Friday amid a turnaround from weekly lows as US CPI data loom. The US Dollar consolidates weekly losses as AI concerns-driven risk-off mood stalls downside. Technically, Gold appears primed for a big range breakout, with risks skewed toward a bullish break.
AUD/USD consolidates below 0.7100 as traders await US CPI report
AUD/USD consolidates the previous day's retracement slide from the vicinity of mid-0.7100s, or a three-year high, holding below 0.7100 as traders move to the sidelines ahead of Friday's release of the US consumer inflation figures. In the meantime, the divergent RBA-Fed outlooks might continue to support spot prices amid subdued US Dollar demand, though the risk-off impulse could act as a headwind for the Aussie.
Top Crypto Gainers: River faces resistance, Humanity Protocol steadies, Polygon rebounds
Altcoins, including River, Humanity Protocol and Polygon, rank as top-performing cryptocurrencies in the last 24 hours, defying the broader market pullback as Bitcoin dropped below $67,000.
A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness
Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.
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