|premium|

These four Dogecoin on-chain metrics point to an exponential growth in DOGE price

  • Dogecoin price is edging closer to breaching the $0.181 resistance level, hinting at a breakout rally.
  • Transaction count, large transactions, and age consumed indicators hint at a potential shift in momentum favoring bulls. 
  • The MVRV ratio indicates that the short-term outlook is bullish as well. 

Dogecoin’s (DOGE) price outlook has been extremely bullish over the past few weeks due to its ascent. As DOGE knocks on a key hurdle, more gains are likely to arrive for the meme coin, several on-chain metrics suggest. On-chain analysis is used to double-check the feasibility of a potential rally for the original dog-based meme coin.

Also read: Can Shib, Doge, Floki and Book of Meme kick-start a rally after Avalanche's meme coin program?

Four Dogecoin on-chain metrics hint at bullish outlook

The four on-chain indicators examined are: 

  1. Transaction Count.
  2. Age Consumed.
  3. Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio.
  4. Large Transactions. 

According to data from Santiment, the spike in Transaction Count suggests that DOGE investors are more active than usual, which means there is demand for the meme coin. This metric spiked from 1.22 billion to 9.20 billion DOGE transactions in a span of 48 hours. 

DOGE Transaction Count

DOGE Transaction Count

Likewise, the Age Consumed indicator also posted a massive uptick during the aforementioned period. Elevated levels of token age hint that a significant amount of previously dormant coins are on the move once again and often point to short-term behavioral shifts among market stakeholders. 

Coupled with the Transaction Count metric, the recent increase of the Age Consumed metric is a sign of local bottom formation. The previous spikes in November 2023 and January 2024 have both led to massive uptrends in Dogecoin price.

DOGE Age Consumed

DOGE Age Consumed

Meanwhile, the 7-day and 30-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratios are hovering around 6.62% and 14.38%, respectively, indicating that the unrealized profits are very low. This index is used to calculate investors' average profit/loss for a specific time frame. 

A higher MVRV ratio reveals that most holders are sitting on unrealized profits and is considered bearish, as these holders could sell their stack and kick-start a correction. Likewise, a large negative-valued MVRV is theoretically bullish and could signal it is the right moment to accumulate a token. 

DOGE 7-day and 30-day MVRV ratio

DOGE 7-day and 30-day MVRV ratio

Based on IntoTheBlock data, the Large Transaction metric is on the rise, showing that whales are interested in the meme coin as well. This indicator acts as a proxy for the number of whales’ and institutional players’ transactions and could indicate their buying behavior. 

Based on the other metrics, the spike in Large Transactions is a bullish indicator and hints at a potential rally for Dogecoin price.

DOGE  Large Transaction

DOGE  Large Transaction

On a separate note, technicals suggest DOGE is close to breaching the $0.181 weekly resistance level. If the meme coin bulls are successful, it could kickstart a 52% upswing to the next key hurdle at $0.279. Beyond this level, momentum could easily propel DOGE higher or at least keep the meme coin stable. 

DOGE/USDT 1-week chart

DOGE/USDT 1-week chart

All in all, the Dogecoin price looks primed for a quick rally from both an on-chain and technical perspective.

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Editor's Picks

XRP sell-off deepens amid weak retail interest, risk-off sentiment

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP extend sell-off amid negative funding rates 

Bitcoin is down 15% in February and looks poised to extend its losses toward the yearly low of $60,000. Ethereum and Ripple are following in Bitcoin's footsteps, weighed down by a weak derivatives market. 

Hyperliquid tests key support as sell-side pressure intensifies

Hyerliquid (HYPE) drops to its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $28.85 at the time of writing on Wednesday, extending a decline of roughly 10% so far this week. 

Stellar Price Forecast: XLM risks revisiting $0.136 as sell-off continues

Stellar is trading below $0.160 at the time of writing on Wednesday, extending its correction for the fifth consecutive day. The bearish price action is further supported by rising short bets and declining Open Interest in the derivatives market. 

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: The worst may be behind us

Bitcoin (BTC) price recovers slightly, trading at $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after reaching a low of $60,000 during the early Asian trading session. The Crypto King remained under pressure so far this week, posting three consecutive weeks of losses exceeding 30%.