|

Solana bulls jump on positive crypto sentiment, but $100 remains elusive for SOL

  • Solana price and risk-on assets around the world hopeful on a resolution of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
  • SOL struggles to break a strong resistance cluster near $92.
  • Downside risks remain but are likely to decrease.

Solana price is riding the same momentum felt by cryptocurrencies, stocks, and other risk-on assets around the globe. A meeting between Russia and Ukraine in Belarus has given investors hope that a cessation of the current conflict in Ukraine may be coming to an end. Despite the bullish news and outlook, bulls find it challenging to reach the crucial $100 level.

Solana price continues to face rejection near the $100 level

More than most major cryptocurrencies, Solana price is unenviable and unfortunate, being very close to an important price level but unable to reach that level easily. A significant cluster of resistance must be broken before Solana can enter into a clear and established bull market:

  1. 50% Fibonacci retracement at $92
  2. 2022 Volume Point Of Control at $93
  3. Kijun-Sen at $99.
  4. Lower trendline of a bull flag (linear regression channel) at $100.

Adding to the bull’s frustration is the continued resistance above $100 at $110 (bottom of the Ichimoku Cloud, Senkou Span A), the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at $112, and the 100% Fibonacci expansion at $116. This means that even if buyers can achieve a Solana price close at $100, upside potential could be limited or even reverse due to another collection of significant resistance levels.

SOL/USD Daily Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Chart

Solana price needs to achieve an Ideal Bullish Ichimoku Breakout to confirm a new and long-lasting uptrend. Unfortunately, that requires a close above the Ichimoku Cloud at or above $144 between today and March 13, 2022. It is entirely probable that bulls will be unable to achieve a close above the Ichimoku Cloud until the top of the Cloud reaches the $115 value area in a little over three weeks on March 23, 2022.

If bulls continue to fail at closing Solana price above the $100 price level, then another push and return to the 2022 low near $75 is highly probable.

Author

Jonathan Morgan

Jonathan Morgan

Independent Analyst

Jonathan has been working as an Independent future, forex, and cryptocurrency trader and analyst for 8 years. He also has been writing for the past 5 years.

More from Jonathan Morgan
Share:

Editor's Picks

Why altcoin season isn't coming back — and what stole its capital

If, after two years of being frozen in ice, Katara and Sokka woke you up to the crypto market, it would seem like 100 years have passed. With Bitcoin soaring to record highs just over a year ago, everyone expected a routine altcoin season, where investors take profits from the top crypto to chase higher returns in altcoins.

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC shrugs off CLARITY Act setback and hawkish Fed

Bitcoin recovers, trading above $78,000 on Friday, but the 50-week SMA near $78,760 continues to cap its upside. A hawkish Fed outlook, escalating Middle East tensions, and the CLARITY Act's failure to advance in the US Senate could limit BTC upside.

Why Bitcoin's over 30% rebound doesn't mean the bear market cycle is done

BTC has staged a strong recovery after falling to a yearly low of $57,800 in July, gaining nearly 33% and recording two consecutive months of gains in July and August. Is this the start of a new bullish phase, or simply another recovery within a broader bear-market cycle?

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP eye short-term breakout as bulls return

Bitcoin trades higher near $78,000 on Friday as bulls return after early-week macro uncertainty and regulatory headwinds. Ethereum aligns with the broader crypto market’s neutral-to-bullish outlook, holding support above $2,400 and gaining momentum for a short-term breakout at $2,500.

Bitcoin: BTC shrugs off CLARITY Act setback and hawkish Fed
Bitcoin (BTC) price action has remained resilient this week, trading above $78,000 at the time of writing on Friday, heading toward a key resistance zone. Institutional demand shows early signs of weakness, with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) on track for a second straight week of outflows, with over $420 million recorded through Thursday amid escalating Middle East tensions.