|

Experts believe Bitcoin will form a “double bubble” before prices retrace

  • 2013 Bitcoin bull run that witnessed 75% drop before 1,750% gain is similar to current price action.
  • As Bitcoin changes hands, a repeat of 2013's "double bubble" is more likely. 
  • There is an increase in correlation between accumulation by long-term holders and a drop in BTC price.
  • The creator of the Bitcoin Stock to Flow model says next months key to predicting year end price for  top crypto asset.

Analysts dismissed Bitcoin's sideways price action from last week, considering that the asset has surged nearly 60% in the month leading up to the horizontal price movement. Experts argue that BTC will have another leg up before concluding its 2021 bull run. 

2013 style "Double Bubble" likely to push BTC price higher before bull run ends

Bitcoin price is hovering around the $48,000 level after weeks of accumulation by whales and large wallet investors. Analysts are drawing parallels between Bitcoin's current bull run and the one witnessed in 2013. 

The 2013 bull run was characterized by a 75% drawdown from highs ahead of a 1,750% rally. Both events occurred less than six months apart. This has raised questions about the nature of the current bullrun and whether a 2013-style "Double Bubble" is in the cards for Bitcoin before the end of 2021. 

The "Double Bubble" theory has been around for quite some time now. In the last week of June, Luke Martin, host of the "Profit Maximalist" show, tweeted:
 

Analysts have founded the theory loosely on the correlation between BTC accumulation by long-term holders that are less likely to sell (strong hands) and the drop in the asset's price. 

Historically, an increase in BTC accumulation by strong hands in the long term is followed by an explosive rise in the asset's price. A similar scenario played out in 2013 when the initial run to a local high was followed by a sudden drop in price, and continuous accumulation triggered a parabolic price rise. 

At the beginning of 2021, the creator of the Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow model (S2F) used to predict BTC prices in the long-term was convinced that the asset would hit $100,000 by year end. This implies that the prediction was in line with the "Double Bubble" theory; however, Plan B has recently changed his stance. 

In a tweet, the analyst explained that the asset could hit as high as $100,000 or as low as $30,000, and the price action relies on the next few months. 

Will Clemente, lead insights analyst at Blockware Team, a Bitcoin mining, software and trading company, took to Twitter to share his bullish outlook on BTC. 

Clemente expects Bitcoin price to go higher over the coming months solely due to the "supply shock" developing in the asset. 

A Bitcoin "supply shock" is expected to arise from a sudden drop in Bitcoin supply, driven by the accumulation by large wallet investors and institutions, assuming that aggregate demand for the asset remains unchanged. 

Clemente explains that the current phase is the most potent "on-chain accumulation phase" for Bitcoin, and this is a shakeout before the altcoin targets a price above $50,000. 

According to FXStreet analysts, a crash to the $40,000 level is likely, as Bitcoin lures more investors into long positions. 

Author

Ekta Mourya

Ekta Mourya

FXStreet

Ekta Mourya has extensive experience in fundamental and on-chain analysis, particularly focused on impact of macroeconomics and central bank policies on cryptocurrencies.

More from Ekta Mourya
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment. 

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin holds above support at $65,118 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains choppy in a narrow range between support at $1,900 and resistance at $2,000, while Ripple attempts another upward move toward the pivotal $1.40 level.

PancakeSwap Price Analysis: Bearish momentum suggests further downside

PancakeSwap (CAKE) is trading below $1.26 at the time of writing on Friday, extending the losses by over 8% so far this week. The weakening derivatives market further supports the bearish outlook, with bears aiming for levels below $1.18.

Decred Price Forecast: DCR rebounds toward key resistance zone on volume spike

Decred (DCR) rebounds over 7% at press time on Friday after a three-day decline of almost 14%. Roughly 60% increase in trading volume over the last 24 hours supports the recovery, suggesting heightened spot-market demand. 

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: BTC bears aren’t done yet

Bitcoin (BTC) price slips below $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, remaining under pressure and extending losses of nearly 5% so far this week.