• The ETH sellers remain in control starting out a fresh week.
  • Ethereum weighs in Elon Musk’s tweet and Fed’s concerns on crypto assets.
  • The no.2 coin at risk of a rising channel breakdown on the 12H chart.

Amid the absence of weekend love, the most widely trading crypto assets are extending last week’s sluggish momentum starting out a fresh week on Sunday.

Elon Musk’s, Tesla Inc.’s founder, warning against Bitcoin and Ethereum, suggesting that their transaction rate was "slow" and cost "high”, remains a weight on the no. 2 coin.

Meanwhile, the US Federal Reserve (Fed), for the very first time, flagged digital assets, in its semi-annual Monetary Policy Report to Congress released on Friday.

“The surge in the prices of a variety of crypto assets also reflects in part increased risk appetite,” the report added. This came as Bitcoin price is up some 250% from a year ago, although it is well down from its April high.

As of writing, ETH/USD is down 1% on the day, trading just shy of $2100. Ethereum is shedding nearly 10% over the past seven days.

ETH/USD: Risks remain skewed to the downside amid rejection above 50-SMA

Ethereum’s 12-hour chart shows that the price is challenging the rising trendline support at $2091, with a candlestick closing below that level likely to validate a downside breakout from a three-week-old rising channel formation.

Note that ETH price trades below all the major Simple Moving Averages (SMA) on the given time frame while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) points south below the midline, both of which suggest a likelihood for additional downside.

If the channel breakdown materializes then a drop towards the $2000 psychological level cannot be ruled. A sustained breach of the last could prompt a sharp sell-off towards the $1720-$1730 region, where the June 26 low aligns.  

ETH/USD: 12-hour chart

Alternatively, acceptance above the 50-SMA at $2120 is critical for the ETH bulls to aim for any meaningful recovery towards the mildly bearish 21-SMA at $2194.

Further north, the $2500 psychological barrier could be challenged once again.

All in all, the path of least resistance appears to the downside for Ethereum price.

ETH/USD: Additional levels to watch


Today last price 2094.60
Today Daily Change -15.95
Today Daily Change % -0.76
Today daily open 2110.55
Daily SMA20 2094.91
Daily SMA50 2344.76
Daily SMA100 2563.12
Daily SMA200 2015.15
Previous Daily High 2192.98
Previous Daily Low 2075
Previous Weekly High 2411.19
Previous Weekly Low 2050
Previous Monthly High 2890
Previous Monthly Low 1700
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 2120.07
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 2147.91
Daily Pivot Point S1 2059.37
Daily Pivot Point S2 2008.2
Daily Pivot Point S3 1941.39
Daily Pivot Point R1 2177.35
Daily Pivot Point R2 2244.16
Daily Pivot Point R3 2295.33



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