|

Dogecoin price remains at risk of crash to $0.18

  • Dogecoin price on a knife’s edge, significant drop forecasted if buyers dry up.
  • Bullish fundamental data regarding the Dogecoin-funded DOGE-1 satellite fails to entice buying.
  • The threshold to keep Dogecoin from falling becomes increasingly difficult to overcome.

Dogecoin price has, like the majority of the cryptocurrency market, faced strong selling over the past few days. But unlike most altcoins, Dogecoin is positioned against an imminent price collapse.

Dogecoin price at risk of dropping to $0.18, could drop over 75% to $0.08

Dogecoin price is at a tipping point. A close at or below the $0.23 value area would likely create a fast move to the $0.18 level. From there, Dogecoin is at its greatest risk of a downside move.

A look at the 2021 Volume Profile shows an extremely thin traded range between $0.18 and $0.08 – almost no trading has occurred between those price levels. This is concerning because price treats those low volume levels like a vacuum. In other words, if Dogecoin price were to drop below $0.18, then it is likely to get ‘sucked’ into a vacuum of vacant volume to the next high volume node. The following high-volume node doesn’t appear until $0.08 - $0.09.

Despite the bullish news about an upcoming moon satellite entirely funded by Dogecoin and christened DOGE-1, there has been little interest to support Dogecoin price. This can be observed by looking at the oscillators. The Composite Index is at an angle where it will cross below its moving averages very soon. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index is rejected against the first overbought level in a bear market at 55.

DOGE/USDT Daily Ichimoku Chart

Dogecoin price has a difficult path to invalidate any near-term bearish outlook. Because of the Volume Profile, it is easier for Dogecoin to move lower than it is to move higher. Dogecoin also needs to close above all of its Ichimoku levels on the weekly chart to return to a clear bull market. That will only happen if Dogecoin can rally and close to at least $0.38.

Author

Jonathan Morgan

Jonathan Morgan

Independent Analyst

Jonathan has been working as an Independent future, forex, and cryptocurrency trader and analyst for 8 years. He also has been writing for the past 5 years.

More from Jonathan Morgan
Share:

Editor's Picks

Hyperliquid Price Forecast: HYPE rises on commodities demand amid US-Iran war

Hyperliquid (HYPE) steadies above $33 at press time on Tuesday, marking its fourth consecutive day of recovery in a broadly volatile market due to the ongoing US-Israel strikes on Iran.

Stellar Price Forecast: XLM risks deeper losses as derivatives metrics turn negative

Stellar is trading red below $0.16 at the time of writing, after a slight recovery the previous day. Weakening derivatives data caps the recovery, while an unfavorable technical outlook projects a deeper correction for the XLM token in the upcoming days.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE tests channel resistance as ParaFi Capital deposit, bearish derivatives data caps upside

Aave (AAVE) trades around $120 on Tuesday, testing the channel resistance, signaling that sellers remain active in the zone. Lookonchain data shows that ParaFi Capital transferred 42,000 AAVE tokens to Coinbase Prime over the past 10 hours, often interpreted as a potential selling signal.

CME Group's futures suite now covers over 75% of total crypto market cap

CME Group announced that its crypto futures offering now covers over 75% of the total digital asset market cap, following the launch of its Cardano (ADA), Chainlink (LINK) and Stellar (XLM) products.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: Another month of losses, and it’s been five

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday, but the Crypto King is poised to close February on a fragile footing, marking its fifth consecutive month of losses since October and a rare start to the year with back-to-back monthly corrections.