|

Cardano Price Prediction: Rejection at 100-HMA calls for a test of the $1 mark

  • ADA/USD’s bias shits to the downside after rejection once again at 100-HMA.
  • Cardano charts a rising wedge breakdown on the hourly chart.
  • Bears test 50-HMA while the RSI stays within the bearish zone.

Cardano (ADA/USD) extends Friday’s sell-off, as the bearish momentum picks up pace on Saturday, with deeper losses likely on the cards.

The fourth most widely traded crypt currency has lost 19% of its value over the past seven trading sessions. It's worth noting that the token has gained 720% since the start of the year amid a broad crypto market rally.  

ADA/USD: Eyes $1 on a sustained break below 50-HMA at $1.1445

As observed on the hourly chart, ADA/USD’s outlook appears bearish in the near-term, as the pair has confirmed a rising wedge breakdown earlier this Saturday.

The natural tendency of this formation is to yield a downside break. Therefore, the sellers remain in control, although they need to find a strong foothold below the downward-sloping 50-hourly moving average (HMA), now at $1.1445.

Acceptance under the latter could trigger a sharp sell-off towards the $1 mark, where the pattern target coincides.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) looks south, below the midline, suggesting that there is a scope for additional losses.

The sentiment around the spot turned in favor of the bears after the price failed once again at the bearish 100-HMA, currently at $1.1881.

ADA/USD: Hourly chart

Alternatively, the pattern support now resistance at $1.1737 could check any upside attempts.

The bearish bias will remain intact until the ADA bulls break above the abovementioned 100-HMA barrier on a sustained basis.

The next bullish target awaits at $1.2179, the horizontal 200-HMA hurdle.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ripple builds breakout momentum despite weakening demand

Ripple (XRP) is gaining momentum above $1.50 at the time of writing on Wednesday, as the cryptocurrency extends stability following the cooldown from last week’s rally.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds $83K as Ethereum remains below $2,700 and XRP consolidates

Bitcoin trades lethargically on Wednesday, with bulls battling to defend the immediate $83,000 level as immediate support. Ethereum trades in tandem with Bitcoin. Ripple, meanwhile, hovers near $1.50,

Bitcoin consolidates below $85,000 amid rising US Treasury yields, derivatives deleveraging

Bitcoin consolidates near $83,000 on Wednesday after bulls failed to close above the key $85,000 level earlier this week. Rising US Treasury yields and key macroeconomic data releases this week are keeping BTC investors cautious.

Pi Network tests 50-day EMA breakout as market hype builds

Pi Network edges above $0.0910 at press time on Wednesday, advancing the mild recovery from the previous day. The PI futures Open Interest shows a positional buildup, possibly supporting a rebound amid broader market risk-on sentiment.

Bitcoin: BTC consolidates gains as ETF inflows hit highest level since October 2025
Bitcoin (BTC) price holds above $84,000 at the time of writing on Friday as it consolidates gains of over 4% so far this week. Institutional demand supports the bullish outlook, with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording a net inflow of $2.25 billion through Thursday, pointing to the highest weekly inflow since October 2025.