|

Can Dogecoin bulls maintain control as crypto market bleeds

  • Dogecoin price is on the sixth weekly candlestick that has failed to break out of the falling wedge pattern.
  • As DOGE retests the $0.109 to $0.124 demand zone, there is a chance to re-establish the directional bias.
  • A weekly candlestick close above $0.159 will invalidate the bearish outlook.

Dogecoin price has been in a bullish pattern for roughly a year and is struggling to break out. The attempts to breach this bullish setup have been ongoing for the sixth week. If successful, this moe could trigger explosive gains for early investors, but a failure could catalyze a steep crash.

Dogecoin price delays its move

Dogecoin price action has done nothing but slides lower for the last year as it dropped 85% from its all-time high of $0.740 to where it currently trades - $0.126. Interestingly, this moe south has created three lower highs and lower lows on the weekly time frame.

Connecting these swing points using trend lines describes a falling wedge pattern. This technical formation forecasts a 68% upswing to $0.217, obtained by adding the distance between the first swing high and swing low to the breakout point.

After six failed attempts, DOGE is back to retest the $0.109 to $0.124 weekly demand zone. Considering the bearish outlook of the crypto markets, this downswing could lead to a catastrophic crash if the dog-themed crypto shatters the $0.109 barrier.

Such a move could trigger a 30% pullback to $0.078, where buyers could come to the rescue. This move would invalidate the falling wedge’s bullish thesis. In a dire case, A breakdown of the $0.048 on a weekly time frame could be a pivotal moment.

This step could further trigger a 70% nosedive due to the fair value gap that extends from $.041 to $0.014. 

DOGE/USDT 1-week chart

DOGE/USDT 1-week chart

While things are looking on the fence for Dogecoin. a weekly candlestick close above $0.159 confirms a bullish breakout. This development will also invalidate the bearish thesis and trigger a move that retests the $0.217.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Editor's Picks

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.

BTC, ETH and XRP post cautious recovery amid downside risks

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are posting a cautious recovery on Wednesday following a market correction earlier this week.  BTC is approaching a key breakdown level, while ETH and XRP are rebounding from crucial support levels. 

Top Crypto Gainers:  Morpho, Ether.fi, and Pippin rally amid market pressure

Altcoins, including Morpho, Ether.fi and Pippin are leading the gains over the last 24 hours as the broader cryptocurrency market remains under pressure. Technically, the recovery in MORPHO, ETHFI, and PIPPIN shows upside potential as buying pressure increases.

Hyperliquid registers mild gains following CoinShares' ETP launch

Hyperliquid (HYPE) registered a 3% gain on Tuesday after CoinShares announced the launch of its Physical Hyperliquid Staking exchange-traded product (ETP), offering investors exposure to the token's price and staking yields.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: No recovery in sight

Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to trade within a range-bound zone, hovering around $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, and falling slightly so far this week, with no signs of recovery.