|

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Shaking a tree always makes the ripe fruit fall

  • The BTC/USD pair plays with key levels that would open the door to doubts and early sales.
  • Bitcoin's current scenario leaves little margin, just hours, for a new bullish leg in the short term.
  • The $30,000 price level is the most likely target for a downward extension.

The BTC/USD pair has accelerated its decline to a few hours before the start of the US session. BTC price is moving away from the historical high and seeks support at the 23.6% level of the Fibonacci retracement system from the entire previous rally. 

In the current position, BTC/USD is also finding support in the accelerating trend line that originated on December 11-12 (B)

If the price level of $34,000 is drilled down later in the session, it will undo the current triangle figure (A), and we would possibly see a more complex lateral downward development. 

The primary target of a breakout and extension downward movement is at the $30,000 price level, where the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement system is located.

On the upside, a break above $38,000 is necessary to grant a move towards the recent high of $41,987 and beyond.

The MACD (C) in the daily range shows a bearish development profile that may be complex to reverse in today's session but would accept an upward swing if it occurs before the weekend. Further bearish development of this indicator would push the options away from an additional upward leg.

The DMI (Directional Movement Indicator) (D) shows bears taking a small lead over bulls but still needing to break out of the ADX line, which would confirm the takeover of the BTC/USD by the sell side of the market.

Author

Tomas Salles

Tomas Salles

FXStreet

Tomàs Sallés was born in Barcelona in 1972, he is a certified technical analyst after having completing specialized courses in Spain and Switzerland. He expanded his technical training following the guidance of great experts on the financial markets.

More from Tomas Salles
Share:

Editor's Picks

Crypto liquidations near $2 billion as US Treasury debt buyback sparks short squeeze
The cryptocurrency market has seen nearly $2 billion in liquidations over the past 24 hours, its largest since February 5. Short liquidations accounted for $1.75 billion, their largest since the October 10 leverage flush, and represented the first major short squeeze in a long while.
Crypto Overview: Bitcoin eyes $70,000 on US Treasury bond buybacks – ETH, HYPE, TRUMP lead gains
The broader cryptocurrency market is regaining strength, pointing toward a renewed bull run. The US Treasury Department announced on Wednesday that it will buy back more of its longer-term bonds, in an effort to curb a sharp increase in borrowing costs.
Ripple and Stellar outlook: Extend gains as expanded US Treasury buybacks trigger crypto short squeeze

XRP and Stellar extend their rallies on Thursday as improving liquidity conditions fuel a broader surge across the cryptocurrency market. XRP trades above $1.08, while XLM approaches the key $0.177 resistance level following surges of more than 10% and 9%, respectively, the previous day.

Bitcoin slips toward key 50-day EMA ahead of FOMC Minutes

Bitcoin (BTC) edges lower toward the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around $64,370 at the time of writing on Wednesday after posting a 2.9% gain over the previous two days.

Bitcoin: Hormuz uncertainty clouds BTC outlook
Bitcoin (BTC) trades around $62,900 at the time of writing on Friday, down over 3% so far this week amid cautious institutional demand and persistent geopolitical uncertainty. While BTC shows signs of stabilization, elevated Oil prices and tensions in the Strait of Hormuz continue to weigh on risk sentiment, keeping the Crypto King’s near-term outlook under pressure.