Bitcoin price slips through key liquidity pool, test of Bull Market Support Band at $55K likely

  • Bitcoin price crashes over 6% on Wednesday, slipping past pool of liquidity between $60,600 and $59,005.
  • Over $230 million worth of crypto positions have been liquidated, comprising $189 million in longs and over $40 million in short positions.
  • Volatility levels are high in BTC and crypto ahead of FOMC meeting, which could turn markets.

Bitcoin (BTC) price shocked markets when it dumped over 5% on Wednesday as reverberations of the flush crash spread across the market. It came ahead of a key macro event, which explained the skyrocketing volatility. 

Also Read: Bitcoin price dips into $60K range as spot traders flock to Coinbase Lightning Network

Daily digest market movers: Bitcoin could test Bull Market Support Band at $55K 

Bitcoin price has crashed 6% in the past 24 hours to trade for $57,495 as of press time. The dump that saw BTC slip below the pool of liquidity between $60,600 and $59,005 has caused over $230 million in total crypto positions to be liquidated across the market. This comprises $189 million in longs and $44 million in short positions. Specifically for BTC, over $80 million in longs were liquidated against $15 million in shorts.

Total liquidations

The dump comes with skyrocketing volatility attributed to a macro market event. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is expected today. The best case is no change in the interest rates, but the commentary could be slightly hawkish. The Fed should be finding itself squeezed between a rock and a very hard place considering recent data showed “lack of further progress on inflation."

The April 16 reversal caught the market by surprise, considering the Fed was talking about how many rate cuts are coming this year.  Now, it is a question of whether rate cuts even come at all. 

The sharp crash in Bitcoin price reinforces the idea that whatever Fed Chair Jerome Powell has to say on Wednesday, it is likely priced in already.

According to Standard Chartered, however, Bitcoin could drop further to as low as $50,000. The speculation comes after the area that acted as support since early March was lost, bringing the total losses to 23.5% since the $73,777 all-time high.

Amid an ongoing flush crush, the global cryptocurrency market capitalization has dropped by 4.3% to $2.14 trillion in the past 24 hours.  

Interest rates FAQs

Interest rates are charged by financial institutions on loans to borrowers and are paid as interest to savers and depositors. They are influenced by base lending rates, which are set by central banks in response to changes in the economy. Central banks normally have a mandate to ensure price stability, which in most cases means targeting a core inflation rate of around 2%. If inflation falls below target the central bank may cut base lending rates, with a view to stimulating lending and boosting the economy. If inflation rises substantially above 2% it normally results in the central bank raising base lending rates in an attempt to lower inflation.

Higher interest rates generally help strengthen a country’s currency as they make it a more attractive place for global investors to park their money.

Higher interest rates overall weigh on the price of Gold because they increase the opportunity cost of holding Gold instead of investing in an interest-bearing asset or placing cash in the bank. If interest rates are high that usually pushes up the price of the US Dollar (USD), and since Gold is priced in Dollars, this has the effect of lowering the price of Gold.

The Fed funds rate is the overnight rate at which US banks lend to each other. It is the oft-quoted headline rate set by the Federal Reserve at its FOMC meetings. It is set as a range, for example 4.75%-5.00%, though the upper limit (in that case 5.00%) is the quoted figure. Market expectations for future Fed funds rate are tracked by the CME FedWatch tool, which shapes how many financial markets behave in anticipation of future Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions.

Technical analysis: How far down will Bitcoin price go?

Bitcoin price’s 6% crash on Wednesday has seen the pioneer crypto test the Bull Market Support Band, which helps traders gauge potential levels of support during bullish market conditions and make informed trading decisions based on price action around these levels.

If this support band holds, Bitcoin price could bounce. However, a slip through it could see BTC extend the dump to the $50,168 support level.

Notice the lower highs on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is a show of falling momentum. This bearish outlook is reinforced by the red shade on the Awesome Oscillator (AO), signifying growing bearish sentiment.

Furthermore, the DXY Compare indicator is also rising, a trajectory that has historically been countercurrent with Bitcoin price. This adds credence to the bearish thesis.

BTC/USDT 1-week chart

On the other hand, it is worth noting that the Bitcoin Bull Market Support Band always serves strong support during every bull cycle of BTC. If history rhymes, BTC could wick through the support and bounce back.

As reported in a previous article, only a candlestick close above $72,000 would suggest Bitcoin price is out of the woods. This would set the tone for a reclaiming of the $73,777 peak of March 14, with the potential to establish a new all-time high above it.

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