Bitcoin Price Analysis: Elliott Wave Theory suggests price could fall further
- Bitcoin is trading over 1% lower today as senitment in the crptosphere is weak.
- Elliott Wave theory suggests we could still be in the 3rd wave lower, which could mean more pain.
BTC/USD 4-hour chart
So if you are not familiar with Elliott Wave the chart below can seem confusing. Here is a link that could help you understand what is going on (https://www.fxstreet.com/technical-analysis/elliott-wave)
Going back to the chart now, the price is still in a 5 wave low pattern but it is important to work out which wave the pair is currently in. The wave 1-2 is now set, this can often help you determine where wave 3 will end up as we can use Fib projection (blue). The Fib projection for waves 1-2 is telling us that the price has gone past the 261.8% projection so this could easily be wave 3 at the moment.
Wave 3 usually subdivides into smaller waves. This is also a 5 wave pattern lower following the rules of Fibonacci. I have marked these waves in red as it will be easier to follow. The wave pattern down in red might not be over. At the moment we are at the red 161.8 Fib extension. In theory, this can reach 261.8% so there could be another leg lower.
That is not to say there will not be some small retracements in the meantime. As you can see from the chart these Fib waves are pretty accurate and offered some great counter-trend trade opportunities. Having said that catching the waves in the direction of the prevailing trend is the best strategy.
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Additional levels
Author
Rajan Dhall, MSTA
FX Daily
Rajan Dhall is an experienced market analyst, who has been trading professionally since 2007 managing various funds producing exceptional returns.
