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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Elliott Wave theory projects a test of USD 6500 area

  • Bitcoin seems to have it a brick wall and trades 2% lower on Monday.
  • There is a new lower high that stopped on the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.

BTC/USD 4-hour chart

Bitcoin has made a lower high on the 4-hour chart after rejecting the 55 EMA on the daily timeframe. Zooming in on the 4-hour now the lower high that was created and it stopped exactly on the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Now tracking the projections lower, the extension of 161.8% confluences with the 61.8% of the larger wave in blue. This makes the zone very strong and the probability of the target being tested is now higher. 

On the 4-hour chart below the price has moved below the 55 period EMA but not the 200 SMA. The RSI is still in a depressed area under the 50 mid-line. Although this is the case, there is still space for a further move lower. It seems the bias has changed for now lets lookout for the test of the box marked in purple. 

Bitcoin bearish Elliott Wave count

Additional levels

BTC/USD

Overview
Today last price6768.51
Today Daily Change-138.39
Today Daily Change %-2.00
Today daily open6906.9
 
Trends
Daily SMA206764.42
Daily SMA507211.55
Daily SMA1008143.13
Daily SMA2008053.73
 
Levels
Previous Daily High7199.84
Previous Daily Low6792.41
Previous Weekly High7468.81
Previous Weekly Low6681.12
Previous Monthly High9215.51
Previous Monthly Low3886.49
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%7044.2
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%6948.05
Daily Pivot Point S16732.93
Daily Pivot Point S26558.96
Daily Pivot Point S36325.5
Daily Pivot Point R17140.35
Daily Pivot Point R27373.81
Daily Pivot Point R37547.78

Author

Rajan Dhall, MSTA

Rajan Dhall is an experienced market analyst, who has been trading professionally since 2007 managing various funds producing exceptional returns.

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