|

Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC poised for small correction before a major run to $15,000

  • Bitcoin is ready for a technical correction before another upside wave.
  • IOMP data implies that the upside is the path of least resistance for BTC.

Bitcoin (BTC) has settled above $13,000; however, further growth seems to be limited. The pioneer digital coin hit the recent high of $13,361 on October 25 and retreated to $13,110 by the time of writing. The coin has gained over 1.6% in recent 24 hours and over 14% on a week-to-week basis.  

Bitcoin's average daily trading volume is at $24.3 billion, while its market share settled at 61.2%.

BTC/USD bears are ready to strike back

The TD Sequential indicator presented a sell signal on the daily chart in the form of a green nine candlestick. This bearish formation implies that the upcoming selling pressure may push it for one to four daily candlesticks with the first aim at $12,000. However, considering the strong long-term fundamentals, BTC may resume the recovery after a short-lived correction.

BTC/USD daily chart

On the four-hour chart, BTC/USD is moving within the narrowing Bollinger Bands. A prolonged period of low trading activity implies that high volatility is underway as the squeeze of the Bollinger Bands and a stagnation period is usually considered as a precursor of large price movements.

A sustainable move below the lower band at $12,800 could signal a drop to $12,400 or $12,000. On the bullish side, in order to confirm the next upside wave, Bitcoin needs to break out above the upper band at $13,250, which coincides with the signal a jump to $15,000. 

BTC/USD 4-hour chart

The In/Out of the Money Positioning (IOMAP) confirms that there is strong support between the current price and $12,750 as over 1 million addresses holding over 800k coins. The next big cluster of addresses is registered on approach to $12,000, which is in line with the technical picture.

Bitcoin's IOMP data

Source: Intotheblock

Meanwhile, the market positioning data reveals that there are no significant barriers above the current price, meaning that the upside remains the path of least resistance now. 

BTC/USD: Key levels to watch

Considering the signals of the TD Sequential indicator and the on-chain data, Bitcoin may be ripe for a short-term downside correction with the ultimate bearish target at $12,800. This level will serve as a jumping-off ground and allow for a new bullish wave to take the price to $15,000. 

A move below $12,800 will bring more sellers to the market, with the potential downside aims $12,000 where a new buying interest is likely to appear.

Author

Tanya Abrosimova

Tanya Abrosimova

Independent Analyst

 

More from Tanya Abrosimova
Share:

Editor's Picks

Bitcoin eyes 50-day EMA breakout, Ethereum consolidates, XRP steadies

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple trade near key technical levels on Friday as the broader cryptocurrency market pauses following last week's recovery. BTC is approaching the 50-day Exponential Moving Average while ETH continues to consolidate between two major EMAs.

Uniswap lead gains, Cardano and NEAR risk rejection at EMAs resistance

Top altcoins Uniswap, Cardano and Near Protocol all saw gains on Thursday after a slight recovery across the crypto market. UNI rallied over 10% on Thursday, reaching a six-month high after unveiling Launches, a new feature in its Web App that aggregates tokens across launchpads that leverages the decentralized exchange as their trading infrastructure.

Aave to sunset Sonic, Aptos, zkSync, Scroll reserves, affecting $98 million in supply

Aave is planning to sunset 75 low-activity reserves across its decentralized finance protocol as part of a broader effort to reduce operational, technical and economic risks across its network of deployments.

Strategy, Coinbase post weak Q2 earnings amid prediction market growth for the exchange

Strategy reported an $8.33 billion operating loss in the second quarter of 2026, according to its earnings report released Thursday. The losses were largely driven by an $8.32 billion unrealized loss on its Bitcoin holdings as the top crypto's price declined during the period. The company also reported an $8.22 billion net loss for the quarter, or $24.45 per diluted share.

Bitcoin: BTC holds firm, but the $100 Oil threat could change the game
Bitcoin (BTC) is modestly recovering, trading at $65,400 on Friday and holding firmly above the key support zone. US-listed spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) supported BTC’s modest recovery as they continued to attract institutional inflows through Thursday, pointing to the third consecutive week of inflows.