|

Bitcoin is about to flash a buy signal for the first time since July

  • According to the Hash Ribbon, on-chain metric, Bitcoin is on the cusp of another rally.
  • The Hash Ribbon shows when the worst of miner capitulation is coming to an end.

Bitcoin has slowed down the uptrend after running in immense selling pressure under $19,500. The flagship cryptocurrency has settled around $19,000, awaiting the final leg to new all-time highs beyond $20,000. Meanwhile, Glassnode’s Hash Ribbon on-chain indicator is almost presenting a buy signal since July.

Bitcoin Hash Ribbon turns strongly bullish

The Hash Ribbon, an on-chain indicator developed by Charles Edwards and presented by Glassnode, suggests that the flagship cryptocurrency tends to hit bottom during miner capitulation. In other words, this is the time “when Bitcoin becomes too expensive to mine relative to the cost of mining.”

Glassnode explains that the miner capitulation ends “when the 30-day Moving Average of the hash rate crosses above the 60-day MA” (observe the chart below for the shift from light red to dark red areas).

Immediately after the switch happens, the momentum of Bitcoin price changes from negative to positive. The indicator presents a considerable buying opportunity following the shift from dark red to white.

Bitcoin Hash Ribbon chart

Bitcoin Hash Ribbon chart

As mentioned above, a buy signal nears when the 30-day MA crosses above the 60-day MA. The chart below highlights this imminent move, as well as a shift from the light red ribbon to the white ribbon. In other words, investors should prepare for a possible liftoff for Bitcoin, perhaps to levels significantly above $20,000.

Bitcoin Hash Ribbon chart

Bitcoin Hash Ribbon chart

IntoTheBlock’s IOMAP chart adds credibility to the bullish outlook by revealing the lack of formidable resistance heading to $20,000. The most robust hurdle runs from $19,272 to $19,310. Here, 311 addresses had previously purchased roughly 2,700 BTC.

Bitcoin IOMAP chart

Bitcoin IOMAP chart

On the flip side, immense support is accorded to the bellwether cryptocurrency. Thus it is doubtful that massive losses will come into the picture in the near term. For now, the most substantial buyer congestion zone lies between $18,558 and $19,118. Here, 1.4 million addresses had previously purchased approximately 792,000 BTC.

It is worth mentioning that short-term analysis for BTC/USD brings to light a worsening technical picture. The bullish outlook will be invalidated if BTC closed the day under the short term ascending trendline support and the critical level at $19,000.

BTC/USD price chart

BTC/USD 4-hour chart

Similarly, a bearish divergence has been formed by the Relative Strength Index and the price, suggesting that buying pressure is decreasing. Bearish divergences are created when the RSI sustains a lower high pattern while the price prints a higher low pattern.

As the bullish momentum dwindles, bears gain more control over the price, which may eventually push Bitcoin to spiral to $18,000 and $16,000, respectively.

Author

John Isige

John Isige

FXStreet

John Isige is a seasoned cryptocurrency journalist and markets analyst committed to delivering high-quality, actionable insights tailored to traders, investors, and crypto enthusiasts. He enjoys deep dives into emerging Web3 tren

More from John Isige
Share:

Editor's Picks

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary.

Ethereum Price Forecast: FG Nexus continues distribution amid signs of returning risk-on sentiment

FG Nexus, once dubbed an Ethereum treasury firm, resumed offloading the top altcoin on Wednesday, distributing 7,550 ETH, according to data from smart money tracker EmberCN.

Top Crypto Gainers: Stable and Decred rally, Pippin approaches record highs

Altcoins, such as Stable, Decred, and Pippin, are extending gains so far this week, defying the risk-averse conditions in the broader cryptocurrency market. Stable and Pippin are near record high levels, while Decred extends its breakout rally above $30.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: Another month of losses, and it’s been five

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday, but the Crypto King is poised to close February on a fragile footing, marking its fifth consecutive month of losses since October and a rare start to the year with back-to-back monthly corrections.