|

WTI outlook: Oil weakness accelerate on rate hike expectations, fading supply worries

WTI Oil

The WTI oil price accelerated lower on Friday, extending the downleg $80.59 high into fifth consecutive day.

The contract was down 2.4% until early US session on Friday, as bears gained pace on expectations of further rate hikes in the US and fading concerns about supply shortages, after Russia announced expectations to maintain current volumes of oil exports, while US crude inventories rose to the highest since mid-2021.

On the other hand, markets expect support to oil prices from expectations of higher global demand, mainly due to expectations of increased Chinese demand.

Today’s acceleration broke through significant support at $76.41 (daily cloud base / 50% retracement of $72.24/$80.59 upleg), with daily close below this level to confirm bearish signal.

Daily studies are in full bearish setup and support the action, which pressures pivotal Fibo support at $74.31 (61.8%), with break here to further boost bears and expose next target at $74.21 (Fibo 76.4%).

The contract is also on track for a weekly loss of over 5% that confirms negative near-term stance and keep oil price vulnerable of further losses.

Res: 76.41; 77.40; 78.82; 79.51.
Sup: 75.43; 74.21; 72.44; 72.24.

Chart

Interested in WTI Oil technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 80.87
    2. R2 80.32
    3. R1 79.3
  1. PP 78.75
    1. S1 77.73
    2. S2 77.18
    3. S3 76.17

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.