U.S. Review

Retail Sales Disappoints

  • Retail sales came in flat in April, which was weaker than the consensus estimate. With retail sales now registering a soft reading in four of the past five months, many are now expecting another lackluster quarter of economic activity in Q2, all things equal.
  • The Job Openings Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) also came in weak during the month. The report showed that job openings tumbled after reaching a 14-year high in February. However, the March reading appears to be in line with the downwardly revised nonfarm payrolls report. We continue to expect labor market gains in the coming months.

Global Review

Better Eurozone Will Help Global Growth

  • We finally have proof of what we have been arguing for the past several months, that there are things happening in the Eurozone that hint to a better performance by the battered region. The region's GDP increased 0.4 percent compared to the last quarter of 2014 and 1.0 percent on a year-earlier basis.
  • However, this strengthening of growth in the Eurozone is still having little effect on the Latin American economies, which are struggling to adapt to the new global economic reality.

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