U.S. Review
Inflation Rising, Housing Not so Much
- Despite the acceleration in consumer prices, the Fed is unlikely to change its current course for a rate hike in the middle of next year.
- The housing recovery remains slow. Existing home sales perked up in June, while new home sales erased all of the gains made in May.
- Durable goods orders beat expectations and the factory sector looks to have improved further into July.
- The economy appears to have bounced back in the second quarter and should maintain growth just shy of 3 percent for the rest of the year.
Global Review
Global Economy Continues to Grow at Modest Pace
- Data released this week showed that real GDP growth in the United Kingdom remained above an annualized rate of 3 percent in the second quarter. Economic growth in the Eurozone, however, remains soft. It is difficult to envision a robust expansion if the French economy, which accounts for20 percent of Eurozone GDP, continues to struggle.
- The rate of real GDP growth in China has stabilized at around 7.5 percent in recent quarters, and the smattering of data that we have thus far in Q3 has also been encouraging.
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Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD retargets the 0.6600 barrier and above
AUD/USD extended its positive streak for the sixth session in a row at the beginning of the week, managing to retest the transitory 100-day SMA near 0.6580 on the back of the solid performance of the commodity complex.
EUR/USD keeps the bullish bias above 1.0700
EUR/USD rapidly set aside Friday’s decline and regained strong upside traction in response to the marked retracement in the Greenback following the still-unconfirmed FX intervention by the Japanese MoF.
Gold advances for a third consecutive day
Gold fluctuates in a relatively tight channel above $2,330 on Monday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield corrects lower and helps XAU/USD limit its losses ahead of this week's key Fed policy meeting.
Bitcoin price dips to $62K range despite growing international BTC validation via spot ETFs
Bitcoin (BTC) price closed down for four weeks in a row, based on the weekly chart, and could be on track for another red candle this week. The last time it did this was in the middle of the bear market when it fell by 42% within a span of nine weeks.
Japan intervention: Will it work?
Dear Japan Intervenes in the Yen for the first time since November 2022 Will it work? Have we seen a top in USDJPY? Let's go through the charts.