USD/JPY Daily Technical Outlook: February 28, 2013


DAILY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK ON USD/JPY

Last Update At
28 Feb 2013 00:05GMT

Trend Daily Chart
Up

Daily Indicators
Turning down

21 HR EMA
92.01

55 HR EMA
92.18

Trend Hourly Chart
Near term down

Hourly Indicators
Rising

13 HR RSI
62

14 HR DMI
+ve

Daily Analysis
Marginal rise b4 retreat

Resistance
94.18 - Y'day's NY high
93.52 - Last Fri's high
92.75 - Tue's high

Support
91.93 - Minor hourly res
91.11 - Tue's low
90.85 - Mon's low

USD/JPY - 92.56.. The greenback 'gyrated' wildly inside near term estab- lished broad range of 90.85-92.75 y'day. Despite initial gain fm previous day's NY low of 91.11 to 92.27 at Asian open, renewed broad-based buying of yen pre- ssured the pair in Asia n Europe, dlr fell to 91.14 in NY b4 rallying to 92.44.

Looking at the bigger picture, dlr's decline fm Mon's near 3-year peak of 94.77 to 90.85 confirms the LT uptrend fm 2011 record low at 75.32 has formed a temporary top there as this lvl was accompanied by prominent 'bearish divergen- ces' on the daily indicators, the subsequent crossover of the 21-hr ema below the 55-ema suggests 1-2 weeks of choppy consolidation with downside bias wud be seen. As mentioned in previous update, we've taken the bearish view dlr's afore said fall fm 94.77 is at least correcting the MT intermediate upmove fm 81.68, a 'minimum' 38.2% r of this move shud pressure price to 89.77.

Today, as yen's broad-based weakness has kep price firm, as long as 91.93 (prev. minor res) holds, gain twd 92.75 (Tue's high fm 90.85) is likely but only a daily close abv there wud risk stronger retrace. to 92.27 but 93.52 shud hold.

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