|premium|

USD/JPY Forecast: Poised to challenge the 110.00 threshold

USD/JPY Current price: 109.62

  • Japan’s Tokyo inflation remained subdued in March, printing at -0.2% YoY.
  • Wall Street posted substantial gains, while US Treasury yields ticked higher.
  • USD/JPY trades near its yearly high and could keep advancing in the near-term.

The USD/JPY pair hit 109.84 on Friday, its highest since May 2020, ending the week a handful of pips below the level. European equities closed in the green, reversing early losses, while Wall Street posted substantial gains, underpinning the pair. Also, US Treasury yields ticked higher, with that on the 10-year note settling at 1.67%, reflecting a better market mood.

Japan published March Tokyo inflation figures on Friday. The annual Consumer Price Index printed at -0.2%, below the 0% expected, while the core reading, which excludes fresh food and energy prices, improved from 0.2% to 0.3% YoY. At the weekly opening, the Bank of Japan will publish the Summary of Opinions.

USD/JPY short-term technical outlook

The USD/JPY pair is bullish, according to the daily chart, as it advanced further above a bullish 20 SMA while the longer ones remain far below the current level. The Momentum indicator is stable within positive levels while the RSI advances within overbought readings, without signs of upward exhaustion. In the 4-hour chart, all moving averages head north below the current level, while technical indicators stabilized in overbought levels. As long as the pair remains above the 109.00 price zone, it has chances of breaking beyond the 110.00 mark.

Support levels: 109.40 108.95 108.50

Resistance levels: 109.85 110.10 110.50

View Live Chart for the USD/JPY

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to strong gains above 1.1850 on USD weakness

EUR/USD preserves its bullish momentum to start the week and trades above 1.1850. The US Dollar struggles to find demand ahead of Wednesday's critical January employment report and helps the pair continue to push higher. 

GBP/USD hovers near 1.3600 as UK government crisis weighs on Pound Sterling

GBP/USD moves sideways after registering modest gains in the previous session, trading around 1.3610 during the European hours on Monday. The pair could come under pressure as the Pound Sterling may weaken amid a fresh government crisis in the United Kingdom.

Gold holds steady above $5,000

Gold builds on the gains it posted to end the previous week and holds steady above $5,000 on Monday. Data released over the weekend showed that the People's Bank of China extended its Gold buying spree for a 15th month in January. Moreover, dovish US Fed expectations and concerns about the central bank's independence drag the US Dollar lower for the second straight day, providing an additional boost to the non-yielding yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin steadies around $70,000, Ethereum and XRP remain under pressure 

Bitcoin hovers around $70,000, up near 15% from last week's low of $60,000 despite low retail demand. Ethereum delicately holds $2,000 support as weak technicals weigh amid declining futures Open Interest. XRP seeks support above $1.40 after facing rejection at $1.54 during the previous week's sharp rebound.

Japanese PM Takaichi nabs unprecedented victory – US data eyed this week

I do not think I would be exaggerating to say that Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s snap general election gamble paid off over the weekend – and then some. This secured the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) an unprecedented mandate just three months into her tenure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate after massive sell-off

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices consolidated on Monday after correcting by nearly 9%, 8%, and 10% in the previous week, respectively. BTC is hovering around $70,000, while ETH and XRP are facing rejection at key levels. Traders should be cautious: despite recent stabilization, upside recovery for these top three cryptocurrencies is capped as the broader trend remains bearish.